As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 29.5% in Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...? — $6.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 29.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts; past week: -10.0 pts.
Since October 05, 2026, December 31 has traded between 29.5% and 52.5%. It opened at 39.5% and last traded at 29.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 29.5% |
December 31 is favored at 29.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 30¢ | 29.5% | -3.5 pts | $3.3K | 55.4% |
| October 31 | 12¢ | 12.0% | +5.0 pts | $2.7K | 44.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 29¢ / ask 30¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.0K has been traded on this event in total, $165 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying meeting between Anthropic and the Holy See takes place between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying participants are as follows: - Anthropic: a co-founder, a C-suite executive, or a representative officially designated by Anthropic. - Vatican: the Pope, a head or senior official of a Holy See institution, or a representative officially designated by the Holy See. A qualifying meeting must involve direct, substantive discussion between at least one qualifying representative of Anthropic and at least one qualifying representative of the Holy See. A bilateral meeting or a joint working session within a larger event will qualify. Mere attendance at the same event, an incidental greeting, a photo opportunity, or separate speeches will not qualify. The meeting must take place in person. Video calls, phone calls, and other virtual meetings will not qualify. The meeting must take place after this market's creation. Newly reported details of a meeting that took place before this market's creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation from Anthropic or the Holy See; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,535 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 1,535 | $453 |
| Bad-Fool-Enrollment | No | 1,058 | $746 |
| Different-Windshield | No | 169 | $119 |
| Hideous-Ashram | No | 111 | $79 |
| Courteous-Lyocell-Basement | No | 75 | $53 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 50 | $36 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 40 | $28 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 40 | $28 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 30 | $9 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | No | 20 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 02:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.3% | $131 |
| Oct 23, 05:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 04:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $18 |
| Oct 23, 04:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $127 |
| Oct 23, 11:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 33.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 12:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $30 |
| Oct 22, 12:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 06:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 06:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 29.5%. Next is October 31 at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-vatican-x-anthropic-meeting-by?via=bro
$6.0K in total volume, with $165 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 29.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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