As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 4.0% in Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? — $18.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 4.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.2 pts; past month: -2.2 pts.
Since January 19, 2026, December 31 has traded between 4.1% and 51.0%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 4.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 4.8% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 4.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 4.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 4.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 4.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 4.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4.1% |
December 31 is favored at 4.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.1 pts | $10.4K | 56.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,000 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Sigh | Yes | 1,000 | $39 |
| Those-Derrick | No | 646 | $620 |
| Fearful-Independence | No | 355 | $341 |
| Dark-Follower | Yes | 215 | $8 |
| Different-Windshield | No | 210 | $202 |
| Buoyant-Nurture | No | 180 | $173 |
| Chief-Dissonance | Yes | 160 | $6 |
| Unwilling-Lipoprotein | No | 160 | $154 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 155 | $6 |
| Obedient-Rule | No | 111 | $107 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 05:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.7% | $4 |
| Oct 12, 03:52 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 05:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.1% | $57 |
| Oct 10, 04:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $52 |
| Sep 30, 05:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.3% | $58 |
| Sep 27, 10:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.2% | $3 |
| Sep 27, 06:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $6 |
| Sep 27, 10:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.4% | $10 |
| Sep 26, 04:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.8% | $15 |
| Sep 26, 04:40 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.9% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 4.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anthony-albanese-out-as-prime-minister-of-australia-by?via=bro
$18.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 4.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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