As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2029 at 23.5% in Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? — $2.61M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2029, is priced at 23.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.
Since September 17, 2026, December 31, 2029 has traded between 20.5% and 48.5%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 23.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 23.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 23.5% |
December 31, 2029 is favored at 23.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2029 | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $319.1K | 12.2% |
| December 31, 2028 | 18¢ | 17.5% | — | $316.6K | 12.1% |
| December 31, 2027 | 8¢ | 8.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.98M | 75.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 23¢ / ask 24¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.61M has been traded on this event in total, $8.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 32,139 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yellow-Dress-Ballet | Yes | 32,139 | $7.6K |
| Peppery-Capital | No | 28,670 | $21.9K |
| Growing-Way | No | 1,800 | $1.4K |
| Raw-Cross | Yes | 1,502 | $353 |
| Witty-Removal | No | 1,000 | $765 |
| Sudden-Breakpoint | No | 600 | $459 |
| 0xb6ce892d… | No | 574 | $439 |
| Notable-Tin | No | 500 | $382 |
| Euphoric-Champagne | No | 500 | $382 |
| Linear-Completion | No | 400 | $306 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 06:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 06:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 04:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $1.3K |
| Oct 24, 03:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 03:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 03:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 02:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $29 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2029 at 23.5%. Next is December 31, 2028 at 17.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-announces-bankruptcy-by?via=bro
$2.61M in total volume, with $8.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2029, priced at 23.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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