Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $1.5T at 87.1% in Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? — $23.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $599.
Leading outcome
$1.5T
87%
A 87.1% price implies roughly a 87-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.7 pts7D +10.2 pts30D −1.2 pts
$1.5T87.1%
$1.75T67.5%
Bid
86¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since August 25, 2026: 77.5% – 95.5% · Opened at 85.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Category
AI, IPO, IPOs, Finance, Big Tech, Claude 5, Anthropic, Anthropic IPO
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$23.9K
Volume (24h)
$599
Liquidity
$12.4K
Markets
7
Leading outcome
$1.5T — 87.1%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, $1.5T, is priced at 87.1%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.7 pts; past week: +10.2 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.

Since August 25, 2026, $1.5T has traded between 77.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 85.0% and last traded at 87.1%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202686.3%
Oct 18, 202681.8%
Oct 19, 202683.5%
Oct 20, 202689.6%
Oct 22, 202685.1%
Oct 23, 202685.9%
Oct 24, 202687.1%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

$1.5T is favored at 87.1%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
$1.5T87¢87.1%+1.7 pts$4.2K17.6%
$1.75T68¢67.5%+1.5 pts$8.6K35.7%
$2T38¢38.5%—$4.8K19.9%
$2.25T17¢17.0%-0.5 pts$4.0K16.7%
$2.5T11¢11.0%+2.5 pts$1.3K5.4%
$2.75T6¢6.0%-0.5 pts$7052.9%
$3T3¢3.1%-2.4 pts$4271.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$23.9K has been traded on this event in total, $599 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,258 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Piercing-FormationYes1,258$1.1K
Sparse-CookieNo688$89
Worthy-LamentNo500$65
Stimulating-Ruby-ModificationYes265$230
Belated-GlueNo238$31
Snappy-RoosterNo182$24
Definitive-AnticodonYes120$104
Writhing-RoundNo80$10
Vacant-LegacyYes70$61
Known-UseYes50$44

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $999 at 79.4%SELL No — $128 at 31.4%BUY No — $119 at 34.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:04 PM ETNoBUY14.3%$13
Oct 24, 04:47 PM ETNoSELL31.0%$10
Oct 24, 02:55 PM ETNoBUY33.0%$3
Oct 24, 02:55 PM ETNoBUY32.0%$19
Oct 24, 02:55 PM ETNoBUY33.0%$2
Oct 24, 02:55 PM ETNoBUY32.7%$5
Oct 24, 10:23 AM ETYesBUY28.0%$3
Oct 23, 09:28 PM ETYesBUY68.0%$16
Oct 23, 09:28 PM ETNoSELL31.4%$128
Oct 23, 09:28 PM ETYesBUY70.0%$11

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $1.5T at 87.1%. Next is $1.75T at 67.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-above?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ??

$23.9K in total volume, with $599 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?, according to Polymarket traders?

$1.5T, priced at 87.1% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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