As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $1.5T at 87.1% in Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? — $23.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $1.5T, is priced at 87.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.7 pts; past week: +10.2 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.
Since August 25, 2026, $1.5T has traded between 77.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 85.0% and last traded at 87.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 86.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 81.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 85.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.1% |
$1.5T is favored at 87.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.5T | 87¢ | 87.1% | +1.7 pts | $4.2K | 17.6% |
| $1.75T | 68¢ | 67.5% | +1.5 pts | $8.6K | 35.7% |
| $2T | 38¢ | 38.5% | — | $4.8K | 19.9% |
| $2.25T | 17¢ | 17.0% | -0.5 pts | $4.0K | 16.7% |
| $2.5T | 11¢ | 11.0% | +2.5 pts | $1.3K | 5.4% |
| $2.75T | 6¢ | 6.0% | -0.5 pts | $705 | 2.9% |
| $3T | 3¢ | 3.1% | -2.4 pts | $427 | 1.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$23.9K has been traded on this event in total, $599 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,258 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 1,258 | $1.1K |
| Sparse-Cookie | No | 688 | $89 |
| Worthy-Lament | No | 500 | $65 |
| Stimulating-Ruby-Modification | Yes | 265 | $230 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 238 | $31 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 182 | $24 |
| Definitive-Anticodon | Yes | 120 | $104 |
| Writhing-Round | No | 80 | $10 |
| Vacant-Legacy | Yes | 70 | $61 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 50 | $44 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 14.3% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 04:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 31.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 02:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 02:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.7% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 10:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 09:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 09:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 31.4% | $128 |
| Oct 23, 09:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $1.5T at 87.1%. Next is $1.75T at 67.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-above?via=bro
$23.9K in total volume, with $599 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
$1.5T, priced at 87.1% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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