As of October 24, 2026, 09:10 PM ET, Polymarket traders price <$500B at 36.0% in Anthropic’s valuation end of November 2026? — $1.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, <$500B, is priced at 36.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, <$500B has traded between 36.0% and 44.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 36.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 37.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 36.0% |
<$500B is favored at 36.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$500B | 36¢ | 36.0% | -3.5 pts | $329 | 31.2% |
| $500-$750B | 36¢ | 36.0% | -8.0 pts | $376 | 35.7% |
| $750B-$1.00T | 35¢ | 35.0% | — | $50 | 4.7% |
| $1.00-$1.25T | 35¢ | 35.0% | — | $50 | 4.7% |
| $1.25-$1.50T | 32¢ | 32.0% | -2.5 pts | $50 | 4.7% |
| $2.25T+ | 29¢ | 29.0% | — | $50 | 4.7% |
| $1.75-$2.00T | 21¢ | 21.0% | -4.5 pts | $50 | 4.7% |
| $2.00-$2.25T | 20¢ | 20.5% | -5.0 pts | $50 | 4.7% |
| $1.50-$1.75T | 19¢ | 19.0% | — | $50 | 4.7% |
$1.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for the last trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 104 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 104 | $67 |
| Untimely-Mood | Yes | 48 | $17 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 46 | $16 |
| Voluminous-Lava | Yes | 10 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.2% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 05:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.8% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 08:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $25 |
| Oct 21, 08:10 PM ET | No | SELL | 31.4% | $25 |
| Oct 21, 08:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $25 |
| Oct 21, 08:10 PM ET | No | SELL | 32.8% | $26 |
| Oct 21, 08:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $15 |
| Oct 21, 08:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 08:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $15 |
| Oct 21, 08:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is <$500B at 36.0%. Next is $500-$750B at 36.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anthropics-valuation-end-of-november-2026?via=bro
$1.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data.
<$500B, priced at 36.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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