As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.0% in Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? — $98.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -0.4 pts.
Since January 08, 2026, No has traded between 69.0% and 98.5%. It opened at 82.5% and last traded at 97.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.0% |
No is favored at 97.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.0% | +0.4 pts | $98.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.4 pts | $98.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$98.0K has been traded on this event in total, $226 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,850 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overcooked-Almond | No | 5,850 | $5.7K |
| Polished-Hexagon | No | 2,792 | $2.7K |
| Impish-Tract | No | 2,224 | $2.2K |
| Personal-Disclaimer | Yes | 2,211 | $66 |
| Prize-Cobbler | No | 1,799 | $1.7K |
| Disguised-Lentil | Yes | 1,452 | $44 |
| pet | Yes | 1,240 | $37 |
| Inferior-Tavern | No | 1,210 | $1.2K |
| Legal-Butcher | Yes | 1,015 | $30 |
| Pleasant-Stepson | Yes | 862 | $26 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 02:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.8% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 01:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.3% | $35 |
| Oct 20, 11:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.3% | $20 |
| Oct 19, 08:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $49 |
| Oct 19, 02:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.1% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 09:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.3% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.0%. Next is Yes at 3.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/any-brazil-stf-justice-removed-by-impeachment-before-2027?via=bro
$98.0K in total volume, with $226 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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