As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.2% in Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? — $174.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -0.4 pts; past month: -0.8 pts.
Since December 08, 2025, No has traded between 90.5% and 98.4%. It opened at 91.0% and last traded at 98.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 98.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.4% |
No is favored at 98.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.2% | -0.1 pts | $174.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.8% | +0.1 pts | $174.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$174.1K has been traded on this event in total, $70 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 11,514 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy-Council | No | 11,514 | $11.3K |
| Dead-Lava | No | 3,646 | $3.6K |
| Spotted-Chasuble | Yes | 2,668 | $47 |
| Dazzling-Trafficker | No | 2,357 | $2.3K |
| Which-Corral | Yes | 2,044 | $36 |
| Watery-Canopy | Yes | 2,017 | $35 |
| Dry-Housewife | Yes | 1,667 | $29 |
| Well-Worn-Integer | Yes | 1,650 | $29 |
| 0xd03a020b… | Yes | 1,230 | $22 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 1,000 | $982 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:10 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.2% | $69 |
| Oct 22, 05:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $295 |
| Oct 22, 08:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.7% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 04:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.7% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 04:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $185 |
| Oct 21, 03:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $295 |
| Oct 20, 10:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.2% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 07:33 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.2% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 11:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.2% | $10 |
| Oct 17, 06:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $103 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.2%. Next is Yes at 1.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/any-country-withdraws-from-eu-before-2027?via=bro
$174.1K in total volume, with $70 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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