As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 62.5% in Anyone charged over Wedgewood fake polls by June 30, 2027? — $570 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 62.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, No has traded between 61.5% and 72.0%. It opened at 72.0% and last traded at 62.0%.
No is favored at 62.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 62¢ | 62.5% | +1.5 pts | $570 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 38¢ | 37.5% | -1.5 pts | $570 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 21¢ (bid 27¢ / ask 48¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$570 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
On October 20, 2026, Wedgewood Polls, a polling firm whose survey results were cited by media outlets and polling aggregators, stated that its published polls had been fabricated as part of what it described as a "social experiment" (see: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/a-company-says-its-polls-were-fake-heres-what-happened). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual person in direct connection to the fabricated poll results published by Wedgewood Polls, between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 179 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 179 | $67 |
| Anxious-Minority | No | 67 | $42 |
| Evil-Row | No | 54 | $34 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 41 | $26 |
| Golden-Panpipe | No | 27 | $17 |
| 0x28a66540… | Yes | 9 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $22 |
| Oct 23, 03:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.3% | $46 |
| Oct 23, 02:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 52.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 02:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 02:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 01:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 64.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 11:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 11:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 11:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 11:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 62.5%. Next is Yes at 37.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anyone-charged-over-wedgewood-fake-polls-by-june-30-2027?via=bro
$570 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 62.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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