As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price January 4, 11:59 PM at 97.9% in AP calls the Senate by...? — $9.3K traded so far.
January 4, 11:59 PM is favored at 97.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 4, 11:59 PM | 98¢ | 97.9% | — | $2.1K | 22.5% |
| December 2, 11:59 PM | 90¢ | 89.5% | -3.5 pts | $402 | 4.3% |
| November 18, 11:59 PM | 86¢ | 86.0% | -5.5 pts | $909 | 9.8% |
| November 6, 11:59 PM | 80¢ | 80.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.5K | 16.4% |
| November 13, 11:59 PM | 78¢ | 78.5% | -0.5 pts | $566 | 6.1% |
| November 4, 11:59 PM | 77¢ | 77.0% | -1.0 pts | $2.1K | 22.2% |
| November 4, 3:59 AM | 56¢ | 55.5% | +5.0 pts | $609 | 6.5% |
| November 4, 12:59 AM | 40¢ | 39.5% | -24.5 pts | $448 | 4.8% |
| November 3, 11:59 PM | 38¢ | 38.5% | -12.5 pts | $336 | 3.6% |
| November 3, 10:59 PM | 17¢ | 17.0% | -7.5 pts | $347 | 3.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.3K has been traded on this event in total, $893 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 767 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reckless-Estrogen-Competence | Yes | 767 | $751 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 294 | $6 |
| Golden-Panpipe | No | 125 | $3 |
| Blue-Bend | No | 104 | $2 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 87 | $2 |
| Second-Hand-Neighborhood | No | 64 | $1 |
| Grumpy-Invader | No | 50 | $1 |
| Cool-Pattypan | Yes | 35 | $34 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 31 | $1 |
| 0xf768d6c6… | No | 22 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 02:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $57 |
| Oct 24, 01:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 03:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 22.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 16.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 01:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is January 4, 11:59 PM at 97.9%. Next is December 2, 11:59 PM at 89.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-senate-byptptpt?via=bro
$9.3K in total volume, with $893 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
January 4, 11:59 PM, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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