Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $5.00-$5.50T at 34.5% in Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026? — $20.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $851.
Leading outcome
$5.00-$5.50T
34%
A 34.5% price implies roughly a 34-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −5.0 pts7D −1.0 pts30D +8.5 pts
$5.00-$5.50T34.5%
$4.50-$5.00T22.0%
Bid
34¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since August 05, 2026: 14.5% – 39.0% · Opened at 16.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Category
AAPL, Apple, Stocks, Finance, Big Tech, Business, Equities, market cap, market capitalization, Recurring
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$20.2K
Volume (24h)
$851
Liquidity
$22.5K
Markets
7
Leading outcome
$5.00-$5.50T — 34.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, $5.00-$5.50T, is priced at 34.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.0 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: +8.5 pts.

Since August 05, 2026, $5.00-$5.50T has traded between 14.5% and 39.0%. It opened at 16.5% and last traded at 34.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202635.5%
Oct 16, 202635.5%
Oct 18, 202635.5%
Oct 19, 202633.5%
Oct 20, 202631.5%
Oct 23, 202639.0%
Oct 24, 202634.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

$5.00-$5.50T is favored at 34.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
$5.00-$5.50T34¢34.5%-5.0 pts$6.9K34.2%
$4.50-$5.00T22¢22.0%+5.5 pts$5.1K25.4%
$5.50-$6.00T22¢21.5%-6.5 pts$3.3K16.2%
$4.00-$4.50T12¢12.5%-0.5 pts$2.3K11.4%
$3.50-$4.00T5¢5.1%+0.8 pts$1.8K8.8%
$6.00T+1¢1.2%+0.7 pts$2181.1%
<$3.50T1¢1.1%-3.2 pts$5952.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 34¢ / ask 35¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$20.2K has been traded on this event in total, $851 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 513 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Gigantic-Popsicle-WalnutNo513$336
Empty-AddictionYes410$141
0xa5ef39c3…No371$243
All-Peasant-DrugYes306$105
Neighboring-EyebrowsNo276$180
Rubbery-ChurnYes138$48
Evil-RowYes91$31
Belated-GlueYes56$19
Remarkable-UnderpassYes53$18
Amazing-Antelope-ShakedownYes39$13

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $305 at 78.6%BUY No — $190 at 64.2%BUY Yes — $151 at 12.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:12 PM ETNoSELL77.0%$15
Oct 24, 11:52 AM ETYesBUY23.0%$1
Oct 24, 10:47 AM ETYesSELL22.0%$5
Oct 24, 09:06 AM ETYesBUY35.0%$1
Oct 24, 09:06 AM ETYesBUY26.0%$1
Oct 24, 02:50 AM ETYesSELL34.0%$2
Oct 24, 02:50 AM ETYesSELL35.0%$14
Oct 24, 02:50 AM ETYesSELL35.0%$7
Oct 24, 02:50 AM ETNoBUY64.0%$13
Oct 24, 02:50 AM ETNoBUY64.0%$13

Related markets

More AAPL

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $5.00-$5.50T at 34.5%. Next is $4.50-$5.00T at 22.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/apples-market-cap-end-of-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026??

$20.2K in total volume, with $851 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

$5.00-$5.50T, priced at 34.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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