As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 73.0% in Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings? — $675 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 73.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 68.5% and 76.5%. It opened at 76.5% and last traded at 73.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.0% |
Yes is favored at 73.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73¢ | 73.0% | — | $675 | 100.0% |
| No | 27¢ | 27.0% | — | $675 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 75¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$675 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Aptiv is estimated to release earnings on November 3, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Aptiv’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.36 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aptiv reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.36 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Aptiv releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/APTV/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 280 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 280 | $76 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 220 | $161 |
| Cool-Pattypan | No | 90 | $24 |
| Careful-Toughguy | Yes | 53 | $38 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 48 | $35 |
| Weary-Account | Yes | 44 | $32 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 20 | $15 |
| Apt-Antecedent | Yes | 19 | $14 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 18 | $5 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 11 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 11:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 11:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 28.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 20, 06:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 28.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 06:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 06:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 07:02 AM ET | No | SELL | 30.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 73.0%. Next is No at 27.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/aptv-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-11-03-2026-1pt36?via=bro
$675 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/APTV/earnings.
Yes, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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