As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.0% in Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings? — $880 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -10.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 39.5% and 88.5%. It opened at 39.5% and last traded at 88.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.5% |
No is favored at 89.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 89¢ | 89.0% | -0.5 pts | $880 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 11¢ | 11.0% | +0.5 pts | $880 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$880 has been traded on this event in total, $100 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, Ares Management is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Ares Management’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.34 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ares Management reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.34 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Ares Management releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ARES/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 382 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 382 | $340 |
| Quizzical-Hire | Yes | 111 | $12 |
| Key-Velocity | Yes | 50 | $6 |
| Sunny-Smoking | Yes | 40 | $4 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 38 | $4 |
| Weary-Account | Yes | 30 | $3 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 24 | $3 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 21 | $2 |
| Apt-Antecedent | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Anguished-Probation | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 10:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 06:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 10:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $17 |
| Oct 21, 09:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 09:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 05:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 05:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 08:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 08:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.0%. Next is Yes at 11.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ares-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-29-2026-1pt34?via=bro
$880 in total volume, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ARES/earnings.
No, priced at 89.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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