As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price <1600.00 at 51.0% in Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets) — $22.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, <1600.00, is priced at 51.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -1.5 pts; past month: +6.0 pts.
Since January 26, 2026, <1600.00 has traded between 14.5% and 72.0%. It opened at 41.5% and last traded at 56.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 55.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 56.5% |
<1600.00 is favored at 51.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1600.00 | 51¢ | 51.0% | -3.0 pts | $2.8K | 12.0% |
| 1600.00–1699.99 | 32¢ | 31.5% | — | $2.1K | 9.2% |
| 1900.00–1999.99 | 13¢ | 12.8% | -0.4 pts | $11.8K | 51.4% |
| 1700.00–1799.99 | 11¢ | 10.8% | -0.2 pts | $2.2K | 9.7% |
| 2000.00+ | 6¢ | 5.8% | +1.1 pts | $2.2K | 9.5% |
| 1800.00–1899.99 | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $1.8K | 8.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 43¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$22.9K has been traded on this event in total, $204 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolution source: https://www.bcra.gob.ar/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,179 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,179 | $578 |
| Key-Acrylic | Yes | 224 | $114 |
| Intrepid-Circulation | Yes | 160 | $82 |
| Average-Peasant | Yes | 149 | $76 |
| Finished-Thermals | Yes | 80 | $41 |
| Lumpy-Tin | Yes | 77 | $39 |
| Sunny-Mix | No | 69 | $34 |
| Snarling-Inspection-External | Yes | 63 | $32 |
| Virtual-Ear | Yes | 58 | $30 |
| Wooden-Diploma | Yes | 50 | $26 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.9% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is <1600.00 at 51.0%. Next is 1600.00–1699.99 at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/argentina-official-usd-exchange-rate-end-of-2026-higher-brackets?via=bro
$22.9K in total volume, with $204 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bcra.gob.ar/.
<1600.00, priced at 51.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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