Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 52.0% in Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? — $4.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $139.
Leading outcome
No
52%
A 52.0% price implies roughly a 52-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −4.0 pts7D −12.0 pts
No52.0%
Yes48.0%
Bid
47¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 01, 2026: 34.0% – 60.5% · Opened at 34.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
Category
arizona, Politics, US Election, Arizona Midterm, ballot initiative, referendums midterms
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$4.9K
Volume (24h)
$139
Liquidity
$26.7K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 52.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 52.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts; past week: -12.0 pts.

Since October 01, 2026, No has traded between 34.0% and 60.5%. It opened at 34.0% and last traded at 48.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202640.0%
Oct 17, 202640.0%
Oct 18, 202647.0%
Oct 19, 202644.0%
Oct 20, 202645.5%
Oct 22, 202647.5%
Oct 23, 202648.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 52.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No52¢52.0%+4.0 pts$4.9K100.0%
Yes48¢48.0%-4.0 pts$4.9K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 47¢ / ask 49¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$4.9K has been traded on this event in total, $139 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Arizona Proposition 144 (HCR 2001) is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend the Arizona Constitution to specify that only citizens of the United States may vote and register to vote in Arizona elections and require voters to present government-issued proof of identity to cast a ballot, whether in person or by mail, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,135 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Treasured-Liner-CheddarNo1,135$590
Dense-WhipYes625$300
Liquid-ArgumentYes615$295
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayNo500$260
Unfit-HardboardYes280$134
Pure-ThreatNo145$75
Cultivated-DieselYes106$51
Known-UseYes72$34
Direct-ChainstayNo43$22
Present-Knickers-DesireYes40$19

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $83 at 40.6%SELL Yes — $51 at 48.0%BUY Yes — $43 at 54.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:58 PM ETNoBUY52.0%$10
Oct 24, 07:23 AM ETYesSELL48.0%$0
Oct 24, 06:42 AM ETNoSELL49.0%$10
Oct 24, 06:40 AM ETYesSELL47.0%$9
Oct 24, 06:39 AM ETNoBUY53.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:39 AM ETNoBUY53.0%$6
Oct 24, 06:39 AM ETNoBUY52.0%$16
Oct 24, 06:38 AM ETYesSELL48.0%$15
Oct 23, 06:57 PM ETNoBUY45.0%$9
Oct 23, 02:58 PM ETNoSELL50.0%$10

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 52.0%. Next is Yes at 48.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-passes-ballot-measure-banning-noncitizens-from-voting?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting??

$4.9K in total volume, with $139 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 52.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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