As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 75.5% in Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure? — $1.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 75.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +4.5 pts; past month: +29.5 pts.
Since August 25, 2026, Yes has traded between 45.0% and 87.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 76.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 68.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 76.0% |
Yes is favored at 75.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76¢ | 75.5% | +1.5 pts | $1.2K | 100.0% |
| No | 24¢ | 24.5% | -1.5 pts | $1.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 75¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
Resolution source: https://azsos.gov/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 208 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 208 | $51 |
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 201 | $152 |
| Powerless-Bijou | Yes | 39 | $29 |
| Appropriate-Antennae-Layer | Yes | 37 | $28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 30 | $7 |
| Dense-Whip | Yes | 21 | $16 |
| Loyal-Final-Agent | No | 21 | $5 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | Yes | 20 | $15 |
| Blushing-Zipper | No | 20 | $5 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | No | 20 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 07:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 26.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 04:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 29.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 04:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $14 |
| Oct 21, 04:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $31 |
| Oct 21, 12:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $4 |
| Oct 19, 05:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 30.0% | $6 |
| Oct 19, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $14 |
| Oct 19, 03:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.0% | $0 |
| Oct 19, 03:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 75.5%. Next is No at 24.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/arizona-passes-drug-cartel-ballot-measure?via=bro
$1.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://azsos.gov/.
Yes, priced at 75.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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