As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 94.3% in Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? — $365 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 94.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.9 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, Yes has traded between 90.0% and 97.8%. It opened at 90.0% and last traded at 94.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 94.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.3% |
Yes is favored at 94.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94¢ | 94.3% | — | $365 | 100.0% |
| No | 6¢ | 5.7% | — | $365 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$365 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Arkansas Issue 1, the Citizens Only Voting Amendment, is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arkansas in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend the Arkansas Constitution to provide that only citizens of the United States may vote in elections in Arkansas. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arkansas statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arkansas, including the Arkansas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.arkansas.gov/).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 162 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bad-Fool-Enrollment | Yes | 162 | $153 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 78 | $4 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 35 | $2 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 21 | $1 |
| Glossy-Speakerphone | No | 20 | $1 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | No | 5 | $0 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 2 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 12:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.4% | $18 |
| Oct 08, 05:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 87.1% | $4 |
| Oct 08, 05:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.1% | $5 |
| Oct 08, 05:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.8% | $2 |
| Oct 07, 10:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.3% | $56 |
| Oct 02, 10:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 02, 09:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 02, 09:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 01, 01:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 01, 12:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 13.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 94.3%. Next is No at 5.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-passes-ballot-measure-banning-noncitizens-from-voting?via=bro
$365 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 94.3% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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