As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30 at 41.5% in Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...? — $63.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, is priced at 41.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +11.5 pts; past week: +18.5 pts; past month: -13.0 pts.
Since July 10, 2026, June 30 has traded between 23.0% and 67.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 45.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 31.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 45.0% |
June 30 is favored at 41.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 42¢ | 41.5% | +11.5 pts | $51.6K | 81.9% |
| December 31 | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.1 pts | $11.4K | 18.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$63.0K has been traded on this event in total, $140 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 285 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 285 | $167 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 276 | $115 |
| Bruised-Abdomen | Yes | 103 | $43 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 50 | $21 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 28 | $16 |
| Scary-Neck-Vascular | No | 24 | $14 |
| Known-Use | No | 20 | $12 |
| Villainous-Pug | No | 20 | $12 |
| Kindhearted-Apparatus-Monocle | No | 20 | $12 |
| Impure-Turmeric | No | 20 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 69.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 69.0% | $28 |
| Oct 20, 12:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $14 |
| Oct 20, 12:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $26 |
| Oct 20, 10:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 10:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $25 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30 at 41.5%. Next is December 31 at 4.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/assimi-goita-out-as-president-of-mali-byptptpt-20260706205743291?via=bro
$63.0K in total volume, with $140 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, priced at 41.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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