Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30 at 41.5% in Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...? — $63.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $140.
Leading outcome
June 30
42%
A 41.5% price implies roughly a 42-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +11.5 pts7D +18.5 pts30D −13.0 pts
June 3041.5%
December 314.2%
Bid
33¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
17¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 10, 2026: 23.0% – 67.5% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?
Category
Mali, Geopolitics
Scheduled end
June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$63.0K
Volume (24h)
$140
Liquidity
$10.4K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
June 30 — 41.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, June 30, is priced at 41.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +11.5 pts; past week: +18.5 pts; past month: -13.0 pts.

Since July 10, 2026, June 30 has traded between 23.0% and 67.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 45.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202623.5%
Oct 18, 202623.5%
Oct 19, 202631.0%
Oct 20, 202632.0%
Oct 22, 202630.0%
Oct 23, 202630.0%
Oct 24, 202645.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

June 30 is favored at 41.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
June 3042¢41.5%+11.5 pts$51.6K81.9%
December 314¢4.2%-0.1 pts$11.4K18.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$63.0K has been traded on this event in total, $140 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market resolves to “Yes” if Assimi Goïta’s departure as President of Mali is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Assimi Goïta, the Government of Mali, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Goïta has ceased or will cease to hold the position of President of Mali. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 285 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
bakayo33 - 9934No285$167
Belated-GlueYes276$115
Bruised-AbdomenYes103$43
Infatuated-NunYes50$21
Snappy-RoosterNo28$16
Scary-Neck-VascularNo24$14
Known-UseNo20$12
Villainous-PugNo20$12
Kindhearted-Apparatus-MonocleNo20$12
Impure-TurmericNo20$12

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $434 at 74.0%BUY No — $434 at 74.0%BUY No — $425 at 74.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETYesBUY32.0%$6
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETYesBUY31.0%$6
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETNoSELL69.0%$14
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETYesBUY31.0%$6
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETYesBUY31.0%$6
Oct 24, 05:11 PM ETNoSELL69.0%$28
Oct 20, 12:31 PM ETNoBUY71.0%$14
Oct 20, 12:31 PM ETNoBUY66.0%$26
Oct 20, 10:20 AM ETNoSELL65.0%$1
Oct 20, 10:20 AM ETNoBUY67.0%$25

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30 at 41.5%. Next is December 31 at 4.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/assimi-goita-out-as-president-of-mali-byptptpt-20260706205743291?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...??

$63.0K in total volume, with $140 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

June 30, priced at 41.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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