Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Astra removed from public access by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 1.6% in Astra removed from public access by...? — $7.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $8.
Leading outcome
October 31
2%
A 1.6% price implies roughly a 2-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.2 pts7D −0.9 pts30D −5.1 pts
Bid
0¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 10, 2026: 1.8% – 45.0% · Opened at 45.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Astra removed from public access by...?
Category
AI, Tech, Astra, OpenAI, AI Safety
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$7.2K
Volume (24h)
$8
Liquidity
$962
Markets
1
Leading outcome
October 31 — 1.6%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 1.6%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: -0.9 pts; past month: -5.1 pts.

Since September 10, 2026, October 31 has traded between 1.8% and 45.0%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 1.8%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 20262.5%
Oct 16, 20262.5%
Oct 18, 20261.9%
Oct 19, 20261.9%
Oct 20, 20262.0%
Oct 22, 20261.8%
Oct 23, 20261.8%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

October 31 is favored at 1.6%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
October 312¢1.6%-0.2 pts$1.8K24.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$7.2K has been traded on this event in total, $8 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance). Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 810 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Playful-BadgerNo810$797
Grim-GarageYes430$7
Belated-GlueYes220$4
Clueless-Dugout-TomtomNo153$150
Sparse-CookieYes117$2
0x55332464…Yes96$2
Wicked-FlourYes34$1
Secondary-LobotomyYes31$0
Rowdy-TenementYes30$0
Beautiful-CreatorYes20$0

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $300 at 97.1%BUY No — $165 at 93.9%BUY No — $144 at 93.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:51 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$8
Oct 18, 03:36 AM ETNoBUY98.0%$10
Oct 18, 01:41 AM ETNoBUY98.0%$20
Oct 06, 10:03 AM ETNoBUY97.2%$35
Oct 05, 06:35 AM ETNoBUY97.2%$8
Oct 04, 09:37 AM ETNoBUY97.2%$4
Oct 04, 07:43 AM ETNoBUY97.2%$15
Oct 04, 06:52 AM ETNoBUY97.2%$10
Oct 04, 06:46 AM ETNoBUY97.2%$20
Oct 02, 06:42 AM ETNoBUY97.2%$100

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Astra removed from public access by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 1.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/astra-removed-from-public-access-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Astra removed from public access by...??

$7.2K in total volume, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Astra removed from public access by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Astra removed from public access by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

October 31, priced at 1.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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