As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 1.6% in Astra removed from public access by...? — $7.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 1.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: -0.9 pts; past month: -5.1 pts.
Since September 10, 2026, October 31 has traded between 1.8% and 45.0%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 1.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 2.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 1.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 1.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 2.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 1.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 1.8% |
October 31 is favored at 1.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 2¢ | 1.6% | -0.2 pts | $1.8K | 24.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.2K has been traded on this event in total, $8 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance). Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 810 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Playful-Badger | No | 810 | $797 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 430 | $7 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 220 | $4 |
| Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom | No | 153 | $150 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 117 | $2 |
| 0x55332464… | Yes | 96 | $2 |
| Wicked-Flour | Yes | 34 | $1 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy | Yes | 31 | $0 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 30 | $0 |
| Beautiful-Creator | Yes | 20 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $8 |
| Oct 18, 03:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $10 |
| Oct 18, 01:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $20 |
| Oct 06, 10:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $35 |
| Oct 05, 06:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $8 |
| Oct 04, 09:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $4 |
| Oct 04, 07:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $15 |
| Oct 04, 06:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $10 |
| Oct 04, 06:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $20 |
| Oct 02, 06:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $100 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 1.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/astra-removed-from-public-access-byptptpt?via=bro
$7.2K in total volume, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
October 31, priced at 1.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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