As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ben Shelton at 99.5% in ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to Make Top 10 — $46.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ben Shelton, is priced at 99.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.6 pts; past month: +2.9 pts.
Since July 29, 2026, Ben Shelton has traded between 60.5% and 99.5%. It opened at 77.0% and last traded at 99.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.5% |
Ben Shelton is favored at 99.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | 99¢ | 99.5% | — | $290 | 0.6% |
| Daniil Medvedev | 99¢ | 99.4% | — | $5.0K | 10.8% |
| Arthur Fils | 97¢ | 96.9% | — | $4.8K | 10.2% |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 97¢ | 96.5% | +0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jannik Sinner | 96¢ | 96.5% | — | $138 | 0.3% |
| Alexander Zverev | 96¢ | 96.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Flavio Cobolli | 96¢ | 96.5% | — | $20 | 0.0% |
| Frances Tiafoe | 95¢ | 95.0% | -0.2 pts | $3.0K | 6.5% |
| Rafael Jodar | 88¢ | 88.0% | — | $3.2K | 6.9% |
| Alex de Minaur | 53¢ | 53.0% | -1.0 pts | $5.3K | 11.4% |
| Novak Djokovic | 31¢ | 31.2% | -0.1 pts | $3.8K | 8.1% |
| Taylor Fritz | 24¢ | 23.9% | +15.8 pts | $6.7K | 14.5% |
| Jakub Mensik | 8¢ | 7.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.4K | 2.9% |
| Tommy Paul | 4¢ | 3.9% | -2.3 pts | $2.6K | 5.7% |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 4¢ | 3.8% | -3.5 pts | $6.1K | 13.1% |
| Learner Tien | 3¢ | 3.5% | — | $215 | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 3¢ | 3.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3¢ | 3.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ugo Humbert | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $100 | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $60 | 0.1% |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $105 | 0.2% |
| Casper Ruud | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $211 | 0.5% |
| Karen Khachanov | 3¢ | 2.5% | — | $143 | 0.3% |
| Jiri Lehecka | 2¢ | 2.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.4K | 3.0% |
| Alexander Bublik | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $114 | 0.2% |
| Luciano Darderi | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $240 | 0.5% |
| Andrey Rublev | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $427 | 0.9% |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $581 | 1.2% |
| Joao Fonseca | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $180 | 0.4% |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $410 | 0.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 99¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$46.5K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
Polymarket lists no fixed end date for this market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 season ranked within the top 10 (positions 1 through 10, inclusive) of the official year-end ATP singles rankings. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "year-end ATP singles rankings" are the final official singles rankings published after the conclusion of the 2026 ATP Tour season, including the ATP Finals. A player ranked exactly 10th counts as "Yes"; a player ranked 11th or lower, or unranked, counts as "No". If the ATP does not publish a year-end singles ranking for 2026, or the season is not completed, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official ATP year-end singles rankings published at atptour.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serpentine-Lycra | Yes | 100 | $99 |
| Scarce-Molding | No | 75 | $0 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker | Yes | 40 | $40 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 40 | $0 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 40 | $0 |
| Humongous-Midden-Tract | Yes | 30 | $30 |
| Terrific-Reparation-Till | No | 15 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.8% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 10:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.8% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.4% | $110 |
| Oct 24, 09:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.2% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 05:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.3% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 08:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.2% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 07:53 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ben Shelton at 99.5%. Next is Daniil Medvedev at 99.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-2026-end-of-year-rankings-player-to-make-top-10-20260728185850893?via=bro
$46.5K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
Ben Shelton, priced at 99.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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