Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara

As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Luca Castelnuovo at 74.5% in Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara — $134 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $134.
Leading outcome
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Luca Castelnuovo
74%
A 74.5% price implies roughly a 74-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Luca Castelnuovo74.5%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under52.0%
Bid
73¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
3¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara
Category
Tennis, Sports, Games
Scheduled end
November 01, 2026, 03:10 AM ET
Total volume
$134
Volume (24h)
$134
Liquidity
$1.5K
Markets
16
Leading outcome
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Luca Castelnuovo — 74.5%
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Luca Castelnuovo is favored at 74.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Luca Castelnuovo74¢74.5%—$134100.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under52¢51.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under52¢51.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under52¢51.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Match O/U 21.5: Under51¢51.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Match O/U 22.5: Under51¢51.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Match O/U 23.5: Under51¢51.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set Handicap +/-1.5: Yusuke Kusuhara50¢50.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set Handicap +/-1.5: Luca Castelnuovo50¢50.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 1 Winner: Luca Castelnuovo50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 1 Winner: Yusuke Kusuhara50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 Winner: Luca Castelnuovo50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 Winner: Yusuke Kusuhara50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.550¢50.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.550¢50.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set Handicap +/-1.5: Luca Castelnuovo50¢49.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set Handicap +/-1.5: Yusuke Kusuhara50¢49.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Match O/U 21.5: Over49¢49.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Match O/U 22.5: Over49¢49.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Match O/U 23.5: Over49¢49.0%—$00.0%
Completed Match48¢48.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over48¢48.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over48¢48.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over48¢48.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Yusuke Kusuhara26¢25.5%—$134100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$134 has been traded on this event in total, $134 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:10 AM ET.

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Yusuke Kusuhara in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Yusuke Kusuhara. This market will resolve to 'Yusuke Kusuhara' if Yusuke Kusuhara advances against Luca Castelnuovo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 91 shares of Luca Castelnuovo.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Loose-AssociateLuca Castelnuovo91$67
Enchanting-OrganisationYusuke Kusuhara46$12
Major-AssessmentYusuke Kusuhara20$5
Frightened-Traditionalism-OptimistYusuke Kusuhara18$5
Unkempt-Herring-ComplicityYusuke Kusuhara6$2
Elementary-VariableLuca Castelnuovo5$4
Trivial-PlayerYusuke Kusuhara5$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Luca Castelnuovo — $69 at 82.0%SELL Yusuke Kusuhara — $7 at 18.0%BUY Luca Castelnuovo — $5 at 83.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:18 PM ETLuca CastelnuovoBUY77.0%$4
Oct 24, 01:33 PM ETYusuke KusuharaSELL18.0%$7
Oct 24, 01:30 PM ETLuca CastelnuovoBUY82.0%$69
Oct 24, 01:28 PM ETLuca CastelnuovoBUY83.0%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Luca Castelnuovo at 74.5%. Next is Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under at 52.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-casteln-kusuhar-2026-10-25?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara?

$134 in total volume, with $134 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.

When does Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara end?

The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:10 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.

What is the most likely outcome of Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara, according to Polymarket traders?

Ningbo: Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara: Luca Castelnuovo, priced at 74.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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