As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac: Tomas Machac at 69.5% in Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac — $234 traded so far.
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac: Tomas Machac is favored at 69.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac: Tomas Machac | 70¢ | 69.5% | — | $126 | 53.9% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under | 69¢ | 69.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 | 68¢ | 67.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under | 59¢ | 59.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Game Spread +/-2.5: Tomas Machac | 59¢ | 59.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 23.5: Under | 58¢ | 58.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5: Under | 57¢ | 57.5% | — | $100 | 42.6% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Completed Match | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 2 Winner: Fabian Marozsan | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $8 | 3.4% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $8 | 3.4% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5: Tomas Machac | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.5: Fabian Marozsan | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5: Over | 42¢ | 42.5% | — | $100 | 42.6% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 23.5: Over | 42¢ | 41.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Game Spread +/-2.5: Fabian Marozsan | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 1 Winner: Fabian Marozsan | 36¢ | 35.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 | 32¢ | 32.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over | 31¢ | 31.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac: Fabian Marozsan | 30¢ | 30.5% | — | $126 | 53.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 30¢ / ask 31¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$234 has been traded on this event in total, $234 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 08:30 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Tomas Machac in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 55 shares of Tomas Machac.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defiant-Leave-Boot | Tomas Machac | 55 | $38 |
| Frightened-Traditionalism-Optimist | Fabian Marozsan | 50 | $15 |
| Few-Missile | Tomas Machac | 29 | $20 |
| Enormous-Ceremony | Fabian Marozsan | 23 | $7 |
| Powerful-Begonia | Tomas Machac | 20 | $14 |
| Rubbery-Appetite | Fabian Marozsan | 17 | $5 |
| Radiant-Chimpanzee | Fabian Marozsan | 15 | $5 |
| Great-Snake | Tomas Machac | 14 | $10 |
| Testy-Sweatshirt | Fabian Marozsan | 8 | $2 |
| Cloudy-Abolishment | Fabian Marozsan | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:18 PM ET | Tomas Machac | BUY | 70.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:05 PM ET | Fabian Marozsan | BUY | 31.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:47 PM ET | Fabian Marozsan | BUY | 31.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:12 PM ET | Tomas Machac | BUY | 70.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:21 PM ET | Fabian Marozsan | BUY | 31.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:58 PM ET | Over | BUY | 44.0% | $44 |
| Oct 24, 03:56 PM ET | Over | BUY | 52.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:52 PM ET | Tomas Machac | BUY | 67.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:13 PM ET | Tomas Machac | BUY | 68.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:04 PM ET | Tomas Machac | BUY | 68.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac: Tomas Machac at 69.5%. Next is Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 69.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-marozsa-machac-2026-10-25?via=bro
$234 in total volume, with $234 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 08:30 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Tomas Machac: Tomas Machac, priced at 69.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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