As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 73.5% in Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda — $369 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under, is priced at 73.5%.
Since October 24, 2026, Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under has traded between 73.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 73.5% and last traded at 73.5%.
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under is favored at 73.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under | 74¢ | 73.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Ryuki Matsuda | 68¢ | 68.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Naoya Honda | 68¢ | 67.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 | 63¢ | 63.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under | 62¢ | 61.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 22.5: Under | 55¢ | 54.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 21.5: Over | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 23.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda: Ryuki Matsuda | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $369 | 100.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 Winner: Naoya Honda | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 Winner: Naoya Honda | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda: Naoya Honda | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $369 | 100.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Completed Match | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 23.5: Over | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 21.5: Under | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 22.5: Over | 46¢ | 45.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over | 38¢ | 38.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 | 37¢ | 37.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Ryuki Matsuda | 32¢ | 32.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Naoya Honda | 32¢ | 31.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over | 26¢ | 26.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 28¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$369 has been traded on this event in total, $369 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 01:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Naoya Honda in the Ningbo Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:43 PM ET | Naoya Honda | BUY | 52.0% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 06:46 PM ET | Naoya Honda | BUY | 52.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:39 PM ET | Ryuki Matsuda | BUY | 51.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 06:27 PM ET | Naoya Honda | BUY | 53.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:17 PM ET | Naoya Honda | BUY | 52.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:10 PM ET | Naoya Honda | BUY | 52.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:06 PM ET | Naoya Honda | BUY | 52.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 06:03 PM ET | Naoya Honda | BUY | 52.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:53 PM ET | Naoya Honda | BUY | 53.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:29 PM ET | Ryuki Matsuda | BUY | 47.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 73.5%. Next is Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Ryuki Matsuda at 68.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-matsud-honda-2026-10-25?via=bro
$369 in total volume, with $369 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 01:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under, priced at 73.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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