Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda

As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 73.5% in Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda — $369 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $369.
Leading outcome
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under
74%
A 73.5% price implies roughly a 74-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under73.5%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Ryuki Matsuda68.5%
Bid
25¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 24, 2026: 73.5% – 73.5% · Opened at 73.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda
Category
Tennis, Sports, Games
Scheduled end
November 01, 2026, 01:00 AM ET
Total volume
$369
Volume (24h)
$369
Liquidity
$19.3K
Markets
16
Leading outcome
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under — 73.5%
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under, is priced at 73.5%.

Since October 24, 2026, Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under has traded between 73.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 73.5% and last traded at 73.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under is favored at 73.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under74¢73.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Ryuki Matsuda68¢68.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Naoya Honda68¢67.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.563¢63.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under62¢61.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 22.5: Under55¢54.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 21.5: Over52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under52¢51.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 23.5: Under51¢51.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda: Ryuki Matsuda50¢50.5%—$369100.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 Winner: Naoya Honda50¢50.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 Winner: Naoya Honda50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda: Naoya Honda50¢49.5%—$369100.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda50¢49.5%—$00.0%
Completed Match49¢49.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 23.5: Over49¢49.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over48¢48.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 21.5: Under48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Match O/U 22.5: Over46¢45.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over38¢38.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.537¢37.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Ryuki Matsuda32¢32.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Naoya Honda32¢31.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over26¢26.5%—$00.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 28¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$369 has been traded on this event in total, $369 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 01:00 AM ET.

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Naoya Honda in the Ningbo Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Ryuki Matsuda — $47 at 50.2%BUY Naoya Honda — $29 at 52.0%BUY Naoya Honda — $26 at 52.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:43 PM ETNaoya HondaBUY52.0%$29
Oct 24, 06:46 PM ETNaoya HondaBUY52.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:39 PM ETRyuki MatsudaBUY51.0%$20
Oct 24, 06:27 PM ETNaoya HondaBUY53.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:17 PM ETNaoya HondaBUY52.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:10 PM ETNaoya HondaBUY52.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:06 PM ETNaoya HondaBUY52.0%$26
Oct 24, 06:03 PM ETNaoya HondaBUY52.0%$3
Oct 24, 04:53 PM ETNaoya HondaBUY53.0%$3
Oct 24, 04:29 PM ETRyuki MatsudaBUY47.0%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 73.5%. Next is Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set Handicap +/-1.5: Ryuki Matsuda at 68.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-matsud-honda-2026-10-25?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda?

$369 in total volume, with $369 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.

When does Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda end?

The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 01:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.

What is the most likely outcome of Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda, according to Polymarket traders?

Ningbo: Ryuki Matsuda vs Naoya Honda Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under, priced at 73.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

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⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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