As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set Handicap +/-1.5: Koki Matsuda at 80.5% in Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim — $79 traded so far.
Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set Handicap +/-1.5: Koki Matsuda is favored at 80.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set Handicap +/-1.5: Koki Matsuda | 80¢ | 80.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under | 76¢ | 76.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over | 71¢ | 71.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim: Koki Matsuda | 70¢ | 70.0% | — | $79 | 100.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 | 67¢ | 67.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 1 Winner: Koki Matsuda | 65¢ | 65.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Match O/U 21.5: Under | 54¢ | 54.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Match O/U 22.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Match O/U 23.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set Handicap +/-1.5: Geun Jun Kim | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 2 Winner: Koki Matsuda | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 2 Winner: Geun Jun Kim | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set Handicap +/-1.5: Koki Matsuda | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Match O/U 22.5: Over | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Match O/U 23.5: Over | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Completed Match | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Match O/U 21.5: Over | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 1 Winner: Geun Jun Kim | 35¢ | 35.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 | 33¢ | 33.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim: Geun Jun Kim | 30¢ | 30.0% | — | $79 | 100.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under | 29¢ | 29.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set Handicap +/-1.5: Geun Jun Kim | 20¢ | 19.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 18¢ / ask 21¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$79 has been traded on this event in total, $79 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 01:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Geun Jun Kim and Koki Matsuda in the Seoul Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Geun Jun Kim" if Geun Jun Kim wins by 2 or more sets than Koki Matsuda, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Koki Matsuda." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Geun Jun Kim can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Koki Matsuda." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour results.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:30 PM ET | Geun Jun Kim | BUY | 29.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:25 PM ET | Geun Jun Kim | BUY | 29.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 06:58 PM ET | Koki Matsuda | BUY | 73.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:58 PM ET | Koki Matsuda | BUY | 72.7% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 06:18 PM ET | Koki Matsuda | BUY | 73.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:19 PM ET | Geun Jun Kim | BUY | 28.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:28 PM ET | Geun Jun Kim | BUY | 28.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set Handicap +/-1.5: Koki Matsuda at 80.5%. Next is Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 76.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-matsuda-geunjun-2026-10-25?via=bro
$79 in total volume, with $79 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 01:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Geun Jun Kim Set Handicap +/-1.5: Koki Matsuda, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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