Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over at 80.5% in Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — $2.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.6K.
Leading outcome
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over
80%
A 80.5% price implies roughly a 80-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over80.5%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Daniil Medvedev78.5%
Bid
79¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
3¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Category
Tennis, Sports, Games
Scheduled end
November 01, 2026, 05:00 AM ET
Total volume
$2.6K
Volume (24h)
$2.6K
Liquidity
$180.1K
Markets
16
Leading outcome
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over — 80.5%
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over is favored at 80.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over80¢80.5%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Daniil Medvedev78¢78.5%—$2.5K98.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev70¢70.5%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under67¢67.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.564¢64.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5: Under60¢59.5%—$50.2%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-4.5: Nikoloz Basilashvili59¢59.0%—$180.7%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over56¢56.5%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5: Over55¢55.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5: Under54¢54.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5: Daniil Medvedev54¢53.5%—$301.2%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Completed Match49¢49.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5: Nikoloz Basilashvili46¢46.5%—$301.2%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5: Over46¢46.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5: Under45¢45.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under44¢43.5%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-4.5: Daniil Medvedev41¢41.0%—$180.7%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5: Over40¢40.5%—$50.2%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.536¢36.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over33¢33.0%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili30¢29.5%—$00.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Nikoloz Basilashvili22¢21.5%—$2.5K98.0%
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under20¢19.5%—$00.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.6K has been traded on this event in total, $2.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 05:00 AM ET.

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Daniil Medvedev — $1.0K at 79.0%BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili — $400 at 22.0%BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili — $200 at 41.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:26 PM ETDaniil MedvedevBUY79.0%$3
Oct 24, 06:14 PM ETDaniil MedvedevBUY79.0%$1.0K
Oct 24, 05:57 PM ETNikoloz BasilashviliBUY22.0%$18
Oct 24, 05:45 PM ETDaniil MedvedevBUY79.0%$35
Oct 24, 05:23 PM ETNikoloz BasilashviliBUY22.0%$400
Oct 24, 05:13 PM ETDaniil MedvedevBUY79.0%$10
Oct 24, 05:13 PM ETNikoloz BasilashviliBUY22.0%$10
Oct 24, 04:44 PM ETNikoloz BasilashviliBUY22.0%$1
Oct 24, 04:36 PM ETNikoloz BasilashviliBUY22.0%$4
Oct 24, 04:28 PM ETDaniil MedvedevBUY79.0%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over at 80.5%. Next is Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Daniil Medvedev at 78.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-basilas-2026-10-25?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?

$2.6K in total volume, with $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.

When does Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili end?

The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 05:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.

What is the most likely outcome of Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili, according to Polymarket traders?

Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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