As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over at 80.5% in Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — $2.6K traded so far.
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over is favored at 80.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over | 80¢ | 80.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Daniil Medvedev | 78¢ | 78.5% | — | $2.5K | 98.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev | 70¢ | 70.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under | 67¢ | 67.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 | 64¢ | 64.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5: Under | 60¢ | 59.5% | — | $5 | 0.2% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-4.5: Nikoloz Basilashvili | 59¢ | 59.0% | — | $18 | 0.7% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over | 56¢ | 56.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5: Over | 55¢ | 55.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5: Under | 54¢ | 54.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5: Daniil Medvedev | 54¢ | 53.5% | — | $30 | 1.2% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Completed Match | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set Handicap +/-1.5: Nikoloz Basilashvili | 46¢ | 46.5% | — | $30 | 1.2% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 22.5: Over | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 21.5: Under | 45¢ | 45.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under | 44¢ | 43.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-4.5: Daniil Medvedev | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $18 | 0.7% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Match O/U 23.5: Over | 40¢ | 40.5% | — | $5 | 0.2% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 | 36¢ | 36.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over | 33¢ | 33.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 Winner: Nikoloz Basilashvili | 30¢ | 29.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Nikoloz Basilashvili | 22¢ | 21.5% | — | $2.5K | 98.0% |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under | 20¢ | 19.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.6K has been traded on this event in total, $2.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 05:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:26 PM ET | Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 79.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:14 PM ET | Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 79.0% | $1.0K |
| Oct 24, 05:57 PM ET | Nikoloz Basilashvili | BUY | 22.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 05:45 PM ET | Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 79.0% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 05:23 PM ET | Nikoloz Basilashvili | BUY | 22.0% | $400 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 79.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:13 PM ET | Nikoloz Basilashvili | BUY | 22.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:44 PM ET | Nikoloz Basilashvili | BUY | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:36 PM ET | Nikoloz Basilashvili | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:28 PM ET | Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 79.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over at 80.5%. Next is Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: Daniil Medvedev at 78.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-basilas-2026-10-25?via=bro
$2.6K in total volume, with $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 05:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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