Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya at 79.5% in Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa — $391 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $391.
Leading outcome
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya
80%
A 79.5% price implies roughly a 80-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya79.5%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under76.0%
Bid
18¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
5¢
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Range since October 24, 2026: 79.0% – 79.0% · Opened at 79.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa
Category
Tennis, Sports, Games
Scheduled end
November 01, 2026, 02:00 AM ET
Total volume
$391
Volume (24h)
$391
Liquidity
$12.3K
Markets
16
Leading outcome
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya — 79.5%
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya, is priced at 79.5%.

Since October 24, 2026, Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya has traded between 79.0% and 79.0%. It opened at 79.0% and last traded at 79.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya is favored at 79.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya80¢79.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under76¢76.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over70¢70.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa: Hiroki Moriya68¢67.5%—$391100.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.566¢66.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 Winner: Hiroki Moriya64¢63.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Taisei Ichikawa54¢54.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 21.5: Under54¢53.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under52¢51.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 22.5: Under51¢51.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 23.5: Under51¢51.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 Winner: Hiroki Moriya50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 Winner: Taisei Ichikawa50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Completed Match49¢49.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 22.5: Over49¢49.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 23.5: Over49¢49.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over48¢48.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 21.5: Over46¢46.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya46¢46.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 Winner: Taisei Ichikawa36¢36.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.534¢34.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa: Taisei Ichikawa32¢32.5%—$391100.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under30¢29.5%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over24¢24.0%—$00.0%
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Taisei Ichikawa20¢20.5%—$00.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 18¢ / ask 23¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$391 has been traded on this event in total, $391 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 02:00 AM ET.

This market refers to the tennis match between Taisei Ichikawa and Hiroki Moriya in the Ningbo Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Taisei Ichikawa" if Taisei Ichikawa wins by 2 or more sets than Hiroki Moriya, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hiroki Moriya." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Taisei Ichikawa can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Hiroki Moriya." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour results.

Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Hiroki Moriya — $74 at 73.0%BUY Hiroki Moriya — $36 at 73.0%BUY Hiroki Moriya — $29 at 72.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:18 PM ETHiroki MoriyaBUY68.0%$13
Oct 24, 08:07 PM ETHiroki MoriyaBUY68.0%$4
Oct 24, 08:03 PM ETHiroki MoriyaBUY67.0%$7
Oct 24, 08:03 PM ETHiroki MoriyaBUY67.0%$9
Oct 24, 08:03 PM ETHiroki MoriyaBUY67.0%$9
Oct 24, 08:00 PM ETTaisei IchikawaSELL32.0%$0
Oct 24, 08:00 PM ETTaisei IchikawaBUY31.0%$2
Oct 24, 07:48 PM ETTaisei IchikawaBUY30.0%$4
Oct 24, 07:48 PM ETTaisei IchikawaBUY29.0%$13
Oct 24, 07:34 PM ETTaisei IchikawaBUY28.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya at 79.5%. Next is Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 76.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-moriya-ichikaw-2026-10-25?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa?

$391 in total volume, with $391 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.

When does Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa end?

The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 02:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.

What is the most likely outcome of Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa, according to Polymarket traders?

Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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