As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya at 79.5% in Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa — $391 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya, is priced at 79.5%.
Since October 24, 2026, Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya has traded between 79.0% and 79.0%. It opened at 79.0% and last traded at 79.0%.
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya is favored at 79.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya | 80¢ | 79.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under | 76¢ | 76.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over | 70¢ | 70.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa: Hiroki Moriya | 68¢ | 67.5% | — | $391 | 100.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 | 66¢ | 66.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 Winner: Hiroki Moriya | 64¢ | 63.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Taisei Ichikawa | 54¢ | 54.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 21.5: Under | 54¢ | 53.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 22.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 23.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 Winner: Hiroki Moriya | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 Winner: Taisei Ichikawa | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Completed Match | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 22.5: Over | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 23.5: Over | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 21.5: Over | 46¢ | 46.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 Winner: Taisei Ichikawa | 36¢ | 36.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 | 34¢ | 34.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa: Taisei Ichikawa | 32¢ | 32.5% | — | $391 | 100.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under | 30¢ | 29.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over | 24¢ | 24.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Taisei Ichikawa | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 18¢ / ask 23¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$391 has been traded on this event in total, $391 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 02:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taisei Ichikawa and Hiroki Moriya in the Ningbo Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Taisei Ichikawa" if Taisei Ichikawa wins by 2 or more sets than Hiroki Moriya, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hiroki Moriya." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Taisei Ichikawa can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Hiroki Moriya." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour results.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:18 PM ET | Hiroki Moriya | BUY | 68.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:07 PM ET | Hiroki Moriya | BUY | 68.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 08:03 PM ET | Hiroki Moriya | BUY | 67.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 08:03 PM ET | Hiroki Moriya | BUY | 67.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 08:03 PM ET | Hiroki Moriya | BUY | 67.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | Taisei Ichikawa | SELL | 32.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | Taisei Ichikawa | BUY | 31.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:48 PM ET | Taisei Ichikawa | BUY | 30.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 07:48 PM ET | Taisei Ichikawa | BUY | 29.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 PM ET | Taisei Ichikawa | BUY | 28.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya at 79.5%. Next is Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 76.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-moriya-ichikaw-2026-10-25?via=bro
$391 in total volume, with $391 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 02:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5: Hiroki Moriya, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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