As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over at 85.0% in Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz — $581 traded so far.
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over | 85¢ | 85.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti | 66¢ | 66.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz: Taylor Fritz | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $576 | 99.1% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under | 63¢ | 63.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5: Over | 63¢ | 63.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 | 62¢ | 61.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz | 61¢ | 61.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over | 59¢ | 59.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5: Lorenzo Musetti | 57¢ | 57.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5: Under | 56¢ | 55.5% | — | $5 | 0.9% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-2.5: Taylor Fritz | 53¢ | 53.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5: Over | 52¢ | 52.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Completed Match | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5: Under | 48¢ | 47.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-2.5: Lorenzo Musetti | 47¢ | 47.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5: Over | 44¢ | 44.5% | — | $5 | 0.9% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5: Taylor Fritz | 42¢ | 42.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under | 41¢ | 41.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti | 39¢ | 39.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 | 38¢ | 38.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over | 37¢ | 37.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5: Under | 37¢ | 37.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz: Lorenzo Musetti | 36¢ | 35.5% | — | $576 | 99.1% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner: Taylor Fritz | 34¢ | 33.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under | 15¢ | 15.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$581 has been traded on this event in total, $581 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 08:30 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:59 PM ET | Taylor Fritz | BUY | 65.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:12 PM ET | Over | BUY | 45.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:05 PM ET | Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 36.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:16 PM ET | Taylor Fritz | BUY | 64.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 PM ET | Taylor Fritz | BUY | 64.0% | $98 |
| Oct 24, 05:53 PM ET | Taylor Fritz | BUY | 64.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 04:31 PM ET | Taylor Fritz | BUY | 64.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | Taylor Fritz | BUY | 63.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:35 PM ET | Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 38.0% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 03:32 PM ET | Taylor Fritz | BUY | 63.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over at 85.0%. Next is Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti at 66.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-musetti-fritz-2026-10-25?via=bro
$581 in total volume, with $581 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 08:30 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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