Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz

As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over at 85.0% in Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz — $581 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $581.
Leading outcome
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over
85%
A 85.0% price implies roughly a 85-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over85.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti66.5%
Bid
83¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
4¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz
Category
Tennis, Sports, Games
Scheduled end
November 01, 2026, 08:30 AM ET
Total volume
$581
Volume (24h)
$581
Liquidity
$215.8K
Markets
16
Leading outcome
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over — 85.0%
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over is favored at 85.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over85¢85.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti66¢66.5%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz: Taylor Fritz64¢64.5%—$57699.1%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under63¢63.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5: Over63¢63.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.562¢61.5%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz61¢61.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over59¢59.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5: Lorenzo Musetti57¢57.5%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5: Under56¢55.5%—$50.9%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-2.5: Taylor Fritz53¢53.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5: Over52¢52.5%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Completed Match50¢50.5%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 22.5: Under48¢47.5%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Game Spread +/-2.5: Lorenzo Musetti47¢47.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 23.5: Over44¢44.5%—$50.9%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set Handicap +/-1.5: Taylor Fritz42¢42.5%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under41¢41.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti39¢39.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.538¢38.5%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over37¢37.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Match O/U 21.5: Under37¢37.0%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz: Lorenzo Musetti36¢35.5%—$57699.1%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner: Taylor Fritz34¢33.5%—$00.0%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under15¢15.0%—$00.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$581 has been traded on this event in total, $581 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 08:30 AM ET.

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Taylor Fritz — $98 at 64.0%BUY Lorenzo Musetti — $61 at 38.0%BUY Lorenzo Musetti — $49 at 38.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:59 PM ETTaylor FritzBUY65.0%$1
Oct 24, 07:12 PM ETOverBUY45.0%$2
Oct 24, 07:05 PM ETLorenzo MusettiBUY36.0%$2
Oct 24, 06:16 PM ETTaylor FritzBUY64.0%$6
Oct 24, 06:01 PM ETTaylor FritzBUY64.0%$98
Oct 24, 05:53 PM ETTaylor FritzBUY64.0%$15
Oct 24, 04:31 PM ETTaylor FritzBUY64.0%$12
Oct 24, 03:45 PM ETTaylor FritzBUY63.0%$6
Oct 24, 03:35 PM ETLorenzo MusettiBUY38.0%$49
Oct 24, 03:32 PM ETTaylor FritzBUY63.0%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over at 85.0%. Next is Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Musetti at 66.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-musetti-fritz-2026-10-25?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz?

$581 in total volume, with $581 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.

When does Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz end?

The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 08:30 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.

What is the most likely outcome of Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz, according to Polymarket traders?

Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

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⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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