Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 65.5% in Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley — $409 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $409.
Leading outcome
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under
66%
A 65.5% price implies roughly a 66-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under65.5%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5: Lorenzo Sonego65.0%
Bid
33¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
3¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley
Category
Tennis, Sports, Games
Scheduled end
November 01, 2026, 07:00 AM ET
Total volume
$409
Volume (24h)
$409
Liquidity
$60.9K
Markets
16
Leading outcome
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under — 65.5%
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under is favored at 65.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under66¢65.5%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5: Lorenzo Sonego65¢65.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.560¢60.0%—$20.6%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over60¢59.5%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley: Jacob Fearnley56¢56.5%—$40799.4%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under56¢56.5%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner: Jacob Fearnley55¢54.5%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 22.5: Over54¢54.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 23.5: Under54¢54.0%—$00.0%
Completed Match52¢52.5%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 21.5: Over52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Game Spread +/-1.5: Jacob Fearnley52¢52.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Sonego50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner: Jacob Fearnley50¢50.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 21.5: Under48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Game Spread +/-1.5: Lorenzo Sonego48¢48.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 22.5: Under46¢46.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Match O/U 23.5: Over46¢46.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Sonego46¢45.5%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley: Lorenzo Sonego44¢43.5%—$40799.4%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over44¢43.5%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under40¢40.5%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.540¢40.0%—$20.6%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5: Jacob Fearnley35¢35.0%—$00.0%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over34¢34.5%—$00.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$409 has been traded on this event in total, $409 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 07:00 AM ET.

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Jacob Fearnley in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Jacob Fearnley — $115 at 58.0%BUY Lorenzo Sonego — $60 at 43.8%BUY Jacob Fearnley — $24 at 57.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 09:06 PM ETJacob FearnleyBUY57.0%$4
Oct 24, 08:54 PM ETNoBUY6.0%$6
Oct 24, 06:47 PM ETOver 2.5BUY41.0%$1
Oct 24, 05:39 PM ETJacob FearnleyBUY57.0%$1
Oct 24, 04:39 PM ETLorenzo SonegoBUY44.0%$3
Oct 24, 04:34 PM ETJacob FearnleyBUY57.0%$24
Oct 24, 03:25 PM ETLorenzo SonegoBUY43.8%$60
Oct 24, 02:43 PM ETJacob FearnleyBUY58.0%$115
Oct 24, 02:02 PM ETJacob FearnleyBUY57.0%$13

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under at 65.5%. Next is Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set Handicap +/-1.5: Lorenzo Sonego at 65.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-sonego-fearnle-2026-10-25?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley?

$409 in total volume, with $409 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.

When does Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley end?

The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 07:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.

What is the most likely outcome of Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley, according to Polymarket traders?

Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under, priced at 65.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

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⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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