As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Daniil Medvedev at 80.5% in ATP Tennis: Almaty, Kazakhstan Winner — $3.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Daniil Medvedev, is priced at 80.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +30.0 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, Daniil Medvedev has traded between 24.0% and 80.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 80.0%.
Daniil Medvedev is favored at 80.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 80¢ | 80.5% | +30.0 pts | $2.9K | 77.2% |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 19¢ | 19.0% | +11.5 pts | $196 | 5.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 83¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.7K has been traded on this event in total, $1.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 23 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Almaty, Kazakhstan tennis tournament is scheduled for October 17–25, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Almaty, Kazakhstan Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Almaty, Kazakhstan Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Almaty, Kazakhstan Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Almaty, Kazakhstan Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 915 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuddly-Folder | No | 915 | $178 |
| Official-Lobotomy | Yes | 684 | $551 |
| Visible-Scenery | Yes | 584 | $470 |
| Thirsty-Tolerance | No | 507 | $99 |
| Decent-Corporal | Yes | 502 | $404 |
| Lighthearted-Relation | No | 286 | $56 |
| Liquid-Pest | No | 231 | $45 |
| Loving-Deadline | Yes | 217 | $175 |
| Vain-Chance | Yes | 156 | $126 |
| Elderly-Almighty | No | 156 | $30 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.6% | $500 |
| Oct 24, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.7% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.5% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $51 |
| Oct 24, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $51 |
| Oct 24, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 10:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 10:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 10:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $26 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Daniil Medvedev at 80.5%. Next is Nikoloz Basilashvili at 19.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-tournament-winner-2026-135011?via=bro
$3.7K in total volume, with $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 23 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
Daniil Medvedev, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.