As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5: Timofei Derepasko at 90.5% in Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko — $110 traded so far.
Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5: Timofei Derepasko is favored at 90.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5: Timofei Derepasko | 90¢ | 90.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko: Timofei Derepasko | 83¢ | 83.0% | — | $110 | 100.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 Winner: Timofei Derepasko | 78¢ | 78.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 O/U 10.5: Under | 78¢ | 77.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Under 2.5 | 72¢ | 72.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 O/U 8.5: Over | 68¢ | 67.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5: Timofei Derepasko | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 O/U 8.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 O/U 10.5: Under | 52¢ | 52.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 O/U 9.5: Under | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Match O/U 21.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Match O/U 22.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Match O/U 23.5: Under | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 Winner: Xiaoyin Yang | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 Winner: Timofei Derepasko | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Completed Match | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Match O/U 21.5: Over | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Match O/U 22.5: Over | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Match O/U 23.5: Over | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 O/U 8.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 O/U 9.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 O/U 10.5: Over | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5: Xiaoyin Yang | 36¢ | 35.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 O/U 8.5: Under | 32¢ | 32.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Total Sets: O/U 2.5: Over 2.5 | 28¢ | 28.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 O/U 10.5: Over | 22¢ | 22.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 Winner: Xiaoyin Yang | 22¢ | 22.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko: Xiaoyin Yang | 17¢ | 17.0% | — | $110 | 100.0% |
| Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5: Xiaoyin Yang | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$110 has been traded on this event in total, $120 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 01:10 AM ET.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaoyin Yang and Timofei Derepasko in the Ningbo Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xiaoyin Yang" if Xiaoyin Yang wins by 2 or more sets than Timofei Derepasko, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Timofei Derepasko." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Xiaoyin Yang can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Timofei Derepasko." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour results.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:04 PM ET | Timofei Derepasko | BUY | 84.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 08:26 PM ET | Timofei Derepasko | BUY | 84.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 08:23 PM ET | Timofei Derepasko | BUY | 85.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 PM ET | Timofei Derepasko | BUY | 84.0% | $86 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | Timofei Derepasko | BUY | 84.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5: Timofei Derepasko at 90.5%. Next is Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko: Timofei Derepasko at 83.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-yan-derepas-2026-10-25?via=bro
$110 in total volume, with $120 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 01:10 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
Ningbo: Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5: Timofei Derepasko, priced at 90.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.