As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Julieta Ramírez Padilla at 66.5% in Baja California Governor Election Winner — $47.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Julieta Ramírez Padilla, is priced at 66.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -5.5 pts; past month: -10.5 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Julieta Ramírez Padilla has traded between 3.6% and 80.2%. It opened at 39.0% and last traded at 67.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 72.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 68.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 67.5% |
Julieta Ramírez Padilla is favored at 66.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julieta Ramírez Padilla | 66¢ | 66.5% | -1.0 pts | $13.3K | 27.8% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ismael Burgueño Ruiz | 8¢ | 7.8% | -0.1 pts | $14.4K | 30.0% |
| Gina Cruz Blackledge | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.8K | 3.7% |
| Montserrat Caballero Ramírez | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $1.1K | 2.3% |
| Evangelina Moreno Guerra | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $3.6K | 7.5% |
| Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $792 | 1.7% |
| Víctor Galicia | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $787 | 1.6% |
| Gustavo de Hoyos Walther | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.3K | 2.7% |
| Armando Ayala Robles | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $785 | 1.6% |
| Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $710 | 1.5% |
| Jorge Ramos Hernández | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $615 | 1.3% |
| Gustavo Macalpin | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $909 | 1.9% |
| Héctor Osuna Jaime | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $607 | 1.3% |
| Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $865 | 1.8% |
| Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 2.2% |
| Ana Daniela García Salgado | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $960 | 2.0% |
| Daylín García Ruvalcaba | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $830 | 1.7% |
| Juan Carlos Hank | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $937 | 2.0% |
| Fernando Castro Trenti | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $843 | 1.8% |
| Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $897 | 1.9% |
| Karla Ruiz Macfarland | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $811 | 1.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 66¢ / ask 67¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$47.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 48 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 993 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 993 | $333 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 762 | $256 |
| Incompatible-Passion-Executive | Yes | 450 | $299 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 372 | $247 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 151 | $100 |
| Charming-Grape | Yes | 118 | $78 |
| Arid-Cinema | Yes | 100 | $66 |
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 100 | $66 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 98 | $65 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 75 | $50 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 09:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 70.7% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 10:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.7% | $65 |
| Oct 16, 01:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.8% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 07:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.7% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.8% | $61 |
| Oct 12, 12:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 01:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.7% | $6 |
| Oct 11, 01:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 25.6% | $13 |
| Oct 11, 01:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 75.7% | $185 |
| Oct 10, 03:03 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $54 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Julieta Ramírez Padilla at 66.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/baja-california-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$47.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 48 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Julieta Ramírez Padilla, priced at 66.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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