As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner — $27.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Manuel Cota Cárdenas | 42¢ | 42.5% | +0.4 pts | $4.0K | 14.8% |
| Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias | 23¢ | 23.0% | +1.0 pts | $5.6K | 20.6% |
| Milena Quiroga Romero | 18¢ | 18.2% | -7.8 pts | $3.3K | 12.3% |
| Christian Agúndez Gómez | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $8.0K | 29.4% |
| José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $582 | 2.1% |
| Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $520 | 1.9% |
| Susana Zataraín García | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $520 | 1.9% |
| Edith Aguilar Villavicencio | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $661 | 2.4% |
| Ricardo Barroso Agramont | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $582 | 2.1% |
| Antonio Manríquez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $552 | 2.0% |
| Fabricio del Castillo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $434 | 1.6% |
| José Saúl González Núñez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $471 | 1.7% |
| Diana Von Borstel Luna | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $488 | 1.8% |
| Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $352 | 1.3% |
| Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $546 | 2.0% |
| Roxana Higuera | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $505 | 1.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$27.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 43 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 949 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 949 | $474 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 312 | $156 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 117 | $58 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 104 | $52 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 60 | $30 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 60 | $30 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 60 | $30 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 51 | $25 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 43 | $22 |
| Advanced-Mailer | Yes | 27 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 03:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 07:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 80.0% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 08:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $2 |
| Oct 14, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $7 |
| Oct 14, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $6 |
| Oct 14, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $7 |
| Oct 14, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $6 |
| Oct 14, 08:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 05:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.1% | $3 |
| Oct 12, 02:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/baja-california-sur-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$27.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 43 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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