As of October 24, 2026, 09:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Vučić, Iotova at 69.0% in Balkan Elections Combo: Serbia and Bulgaria — $959 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Vučić, Iotova, is priced at 69.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +4.5 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, Vučić, Iotova has traded between 50.5% and 71.0%. It opened at 61.5% and last traded at 69.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 69.0% |
Vučić, Iotova is favored at 69.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vučić, Iotova | 69¢ | 69.0% | -2.0 pts | $777 | 81.0% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AA | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AB | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AC | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AD | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AE | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AF | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AG | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AH | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AI | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AJ | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate AK | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Srdanović, Gyurov | 17¢ | 17.0% | +8.5 pts | $26 | 2.7% |
| Srdanović, Iotova | 16¢ | 16.0% | -1.5 pts | $89 | 9.3% |
| Vučić, Gyurov | 10¢ | 10.0% | -0.5 pts | $68 | 7.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 73¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$959 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 42 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election. For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642 For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 684 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drab-Community-Pouch | Yes | 684 | $472 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 501 | $155 |
| Sour-Pole-Sea | No | 65 | $20 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 50 | $16 |
| Content-Boysenberry | No | 31 | $10 |
| Tricky-Usher | No | 12 | $4 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 11 | $4 |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 7 | $5 |
| Tricky-Macrofauna | No | 7 | $2 |
| Past-Laboratory | No | 7 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 09:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 36.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 06:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 06:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 06:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 06:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $20 |
| Oct 20, 04:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 09:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 09:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Vučić, Iotova at 69.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/balkan-bonanza-serbia-and-bulgaria-elections-combo?via=bro
$959 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 42 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Vučić, Iotova, priced at 69.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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