As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Lamine Yamal at 58.0% in Ballon d'Or 2026: Men's Young Talent of the Year — $140 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Lamine Yamal, is priced at 58.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +13.0 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, Lamine Yamal has traded between 47.0% and 49.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 47.0%.
Lamine Yamal is favored at 58.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal | 58¢ | 58.0% | +13.0 pts | $11 | 8.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pau Cubarsi | 42¢ | 41.5% | -16.0 pts | $33 | 23.6% |
| Kerim Alajbegovic | 30¢ | 29.5% | -15.5 pts | $12 | 8.6% |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | 30¢ | 29.5% | -17.5 pts | $12 | 8.6% |
| Yan Diomande | 29¢ | 29.0% | -18.0 pts | $12 | 8.6% |
| Lennart Karl | 29¢ | 29.0% | -18.0 pts | $12 | 8.6% |
| Warren Zaire-Emery | 29¢ | 29.0% | -18.0 pts | $12 | 8.6% |
| Johan Manzambi | 28¢ | 28.0% | -19.0 pts | $12 | 8.6% |
| Ibrahim Maza | 28¢ | 28.0% | -19.0 pts | $12 | 8.6% |
| Eli Junior Kroupi | 26¢ | 26.5% | -20.5 pts | $12 | 8.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 54¢ (bid 31¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$140 has been traded on this event in total, $139 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 09, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Men's Young Talent of the Year award (previously the Kopa Trophy) at the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony, scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than one player is named the winner of this award, this market will resolve to "Other". If no winner of this award is declared by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including the cancellation or postponement of the ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 12 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 12 | $5 |
| Handy-Rocker | Yes | 11 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.2% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 01:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 09:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 42.3% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 11:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 11:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Lamine Yamal at 58.0%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-2026-mens-young-talent-of-the-year?via=bro
$140 in total volume, with $139 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 09, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Lamine Yamal, priced at 58.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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