Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Bank of England decision in December?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No change at 57.5% in Bank of England decision in December? — $15.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $461.
Leading outcome
No change
57%
A 57.5% price implies roughly a 57-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.5 pts7D −9.0 pts
No change57.5%
25 bps increase31.5%
Bid
56¢
Ask
59¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since October 15, 2026: 56.5% – 63.5% · Opened at 58.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Bank of England decision in December?
Category
BOE, Economy, England, Recurring, Global Rates, interest rates, bank of england, Macro Indicators
Scheduled end
December 17, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$15.1K
Volume (24h)
$461
Liquidity
$3.4K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
No change — 57.5%
Resolution source
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No change, is priced at 57.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -9.0 pts.

Since October 15, 2026, No change has traded between 56.5% and 63.5%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 57.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202658.5%
Oct 16, 202663.5%
Oct 18, 202657.5%
Oct 19, 202660.0%
Oct 20, 202656.5%
Oct 23, 202659.0%
Oct 24, 202657.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No change is favored at 57.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No change57¢57.5%-1.5 pts$11.7K77.0%
25 bps increase32¢31.5%+0.5 pts$1.9K12.7%
50+ bps decrease7¢6.6%+0.7 pts$6034.0%
50+ bps increase6¢5.5%—$5893.9%
25 bps decrease4¢4.0%+0.6 pts$3622.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$15.1K has been traded on this event in total, $461 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 17, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,551 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Crisp-ScarfYes2,551$1.5K
Pretty-MotherYes1,853$1.1K
Prickly-EyrieNo1,371$583
Humiliating-AbilityYes1,132$651
Wicked-SonnetNo858$365
Joyous-CatalystNo853$363
Agitated-MobsterNo590$251
Each-SummaryNo486$207
0xa5ef39c3…No330$140
Gleaming-HandlebarNo320$136

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $96 at 68.3%BUY No — $95 at 98.9%BUY Yes — $87 at 58.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:23 PM ETNoSELL68.0%$0
Oct 24, 02:37 PM ETNoSELL67.0%$13
Oct 24, 02:37 PM ETNoSELL67.0%$13
Oct 24, 02:37 PM ETYesBUY32.0%$6
Oct 24, 02:37 PM ETYesBUY33.0%$6
Oct 24, 02:37 PM ETYesBUY32.0%$13
Oct 24, 02:36 PM ETNoBUY41.0%$41
Oct 24, 02:30 PM ETNoBUY41.0%$41
Oct 24, 09:06 AM ETNoBUY42.0%$4
Oct 24, 09:06 AM ETNoBUY42.0%$4

Related markets

More BOE

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Bank of England decision in December??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No change at 57.5%. Next is 25 bps increase at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-england-decision-in-december-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Bank of England decision in December??

$15.1K in total volume, with $461 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Bank of England decision in December? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 17, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates.

What is the most likely outcome of Bank of England decision in December?, according to Polymarket traders?

No change, priced at 57.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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