As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No change at 57.5% in Bank of England decision in December? — $15.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No change, is priced at 57.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -9.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, No change has traded between 56.5% and 63.5%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 57.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 57.5% |
No change is favored at 57.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 57¢ | 57.5% | -1.5 pts | $11.7K | 77.0% |
| 25 bps increase | 32¢ | 31.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.9K | 12.7% |
| 50+ bps decrease | 7¢ | 6.6% | +0.7 pts | $603 | 4.0% |
| 50+ bps increase | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $589 | 3.9% |
| 25 bps decrease | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.6 pts | $362 | 2.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 59¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.1K has been traded on this event in total, $461 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 17, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 17, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,551 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crisp-Scarf | Yes | 2,551 | $1.5K |
| Pretty-Mother | Yes | 1,853 | $1.1K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 1,371 | $583 |
| Humiliating-Ability | Yes | 1,132 | $651 |
| Wicked-Sonnet | No | 858 | $365 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 853 | $363 |
| Agitated-Mobster | No | 590 | $251 |
| Each-Summary | No | 486 | $207 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 330 | $140 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 320 | $136 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 02:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 02:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 02:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 02:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $41 |
| Oct 24, 02:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $41 |
| Oct 24, 09:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 42.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 42.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No change at 57.5%. Next is 25 bps increase at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-england-decision-in-december-2026?via=bro
$15.1K in total volume, with $461 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 17, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates.
No change, priced at 57.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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