Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 98.8% in Bank of England rate hike in 2026? — $61.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Yes
99%
A 98.8% price implies roughly a 99-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.1 pts7D +0.7 pts30D +7.2 pts
Yes98.8%
No1.2%
Bid
98¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
1¢
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Range since February 27, 2026: 10.0% – 99.0% · Opened at 21.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Category
Economy, Interest Rate, BOE, Global Rates, bank rate
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$61.5K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$3.5K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 98.8%
Resolution source
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 98.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.7 pts; past month: +7.2 pts.

Since February 27, 2026, Yes has traded between 10.0% and 99.0%. It opened at 21.5% and last traded at 98.8%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202698.1%
Oct 18, 202698.1%
Oct 19, 202698.1%
Oct 20, 202698.5%
Oct 22, 202698.9%
Oct 23, 202698.9%
Oct 24, 202698.8%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 98.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes99¢98.8%-0.1 pts$61.5K100.0%
No1¢1.2%+0.1 pts$61.5K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$61.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,358 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Defensive-PlungerYes5,358$5.3K
Miniature-BanNo4,536$57
Illiterate-HolderYes2,255$2.2K
Unsightly-PumaYes1,574$1.6K
Radiant-TabNo1,483$19
Lighthearted-RainmakerYes1,378$1.4K
Helpful-AdoptionNo1,156$14
Wicked-SonnetNo915$11
0xc602570a…Yes817$807
Insubstantial-Hurry-BronchitisYes805$795

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $54 at 4.7%SELL Yes — $54 at 98.0%BUY No — $50 at 8.3%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 05:34 PM ETNoBUY1.9%$1
Oct 20, 05:32 AM ETNoSELL2.1%$14
Oct 20, 05:17 AM ETNoSELL2.1%$1
Oct 20, 05:17 AM ETNoSELL2.1%$1
Oct 20, 05:16 AM ETNoSELL2.1%$3
Oct 20, 05:03 AM ETNoSELL3.5%$1
Oct 20, 05:02 AM ETNoSELL2.1%$0
Oct 20, 04:57 AM ETNoSELL3.1%$1
Oct 20, 04:57 AM ETNoSELL3.1%$1
Oct 20, 04:54 AM ETNoSELL1.8%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Bank of England rate hike in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 98.8%. Next is No at 1.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-england-rate-hike-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Bank of England rate hike in 2026??

$61.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Bank of England rate hike in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/.

What is the most likely outcome of Bank of England rate hike in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 98.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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