As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 25 bps hike at 69.0% in Bank of Korea decision in November? — $39.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 25 bps hike, is priced at 69.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +21.0 pts; past month: +21.5 pts.
Since August 27, 2026, 25 bps hike has traded between 27.0% and 69.0%. It opened at 27.0% and last traded at 69.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 69.0% |
25 bps hike is favored at 69.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 bps hike | 69¢ | 69.0% | +0.5 pts | $14.5K | 37.0% |
| No Change | 23¢ | 23.0% | -3.5 pts | $20.6K | 52.8% |
| 50+ bps hike | 4¢ | 4.5% | +1.3 pts | $1.5K | 3.8% |
| 25 bps cut | 4¢ | 3.9% | +1.1 pts | $1.2K | 3.0% |
| 50+ bps cut | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $1.4K | 3.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 70¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$39.1K has been traded on this event in total, $89 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 25, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 826 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jovial-Diary | Yes | 826 | $570 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 785 | $243 |
| Anchored-Nibble | Yes | 531 | $366 |
| Quarterly-Compress | Yes | 375 | $259 |
| Careful-Bunch | No | 302 | $94 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 203 | $63 |
| Known-Use | No | 199 | $62 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 195 | $134 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 158 | $109 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 110 | $34 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 08:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $44 |
| Oct 23, 11:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 31.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 03:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 68.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 01:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 01:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 73.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 07:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 03:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $15 |
| Oct 22, 03:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $12 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 25 bps hike at 69.0%. Next is No Change at 23.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-korea-decision-in-november?via=bro
$39.1K in total volume, with $89 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 25, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022.
25 bps hike, priced at 69.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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