As of October 24, 2026, 09:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 58.5% in Barcelona UEFA Negreira verdict announced by...? — $15 traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 58.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -10.5 pts.
Since October 05, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 51.0% and 70.5%. It opened at 69.5% and last traded at 58.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 58.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 58.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 58¢ | 58.5% | — | $12 | 85.9% |
| June 30, 2027 | 40¢ | 39.5% | -12.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| August 31, 2027 | 40¢ | 39.5% | -10.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| September 30, 2027 | 40¢ | 39.5% | -10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| October 31, 2027 | 40¢ | 39.5% | -9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| November 30, 2027 | 40¢ | 39.5% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| March 31, 2027 | 39¢ | 39.0% | -9.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| April 30, 2027 | 39¢ | 39.0% | -11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| May 31, 2027 | 39¢ | 39.0% | -11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| July 31, 2027 | 39¢ | 39.0% | -10.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| January 31, 2027 | 37¢ | 37.0% | -10.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| February 28, 2027 | 37¢ | 37.0% | -11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| October 31 | 36¢ | 36.2% | -10.9 pts | $2 | 14.1% |
| November 30 | 36¢ | 36.0% | -11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| December 31 | 36¢ | 36.0% | -11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 31¢ (bid 43¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a UEFA disciplinary body officially announces its decision on whether FC Barcelona breached UEFA's regulations in connection with FC Barcelona's payments to José María Enríquez Negreira, former vice-president of the Technical Committee of Referees of the Royal Spanish Football Federation, or to companies linked to him (commonly referred to as the "Negreira case") by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official decision of the UEFA Control, Ethics and Disciplinary Body or the UEFA Appeals Body on the merits of the case will count, whether it finds FC Barcelona in breach or clears the club, and regardless of whether it is later appealed. A decision on FC Barcelona's eligibility for UEFA club competitions on the basis of these payments, or a formal decision to close the proceedings, will also count. If decisions are announced in stages, the first qualifying decision will count. The opening, continuation, or suspension of an investigation or proceedings, reports or recommendations by the UEFA Ethics and Disciplinary Inspectors, interim or provisional measures, rulings by Spanish courts or any other body, and reports or leaks of an expected decision will not count. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 12 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impure-Career-Alien | Yes | 12 | $7 |
| Smug-Snowman | No | 10 | $4 |
| Accomplished-Granny | No | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 05, 04:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 80.2% | $10 |
| Oct 05, 06:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 12:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 58.5%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 39.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/barcelona-uefa-negreira-verdict-announced-by?via=bro
$15 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 58.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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