As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner — $20.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar | 41¢ | 41.0% | +0.5 pts | $8.3K | 40.9% |
| Yakubu Adamu | 24¢ | 24.5% | +2.5 pts | $11.1K | 54.7% |
| Mohammed Aliyu | 16¢ | 15.5% | -1.7 pts | $192 | 0.9% |
| Umar Shehu Buba | 4¢ | 4.2% | — | $299 | 1.5% |
| Usman Supi | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $229 | 1.1% |
| Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $177 | 0.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.2K has been traded on this event in total, $150 of it in the last 24 hours, across 33 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 239 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 239 | $119 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 50 | $25 |
| Tepid-Monopoly | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 36 | $18 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 25 | $12 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 23 | $11 |
| Worthy-Jockey | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 15 | $8 |
| Useful-Cleric | Yes | 12 | $6 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 12:11 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 01:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 12:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 12:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.8% | $158 |
| Oct 22, 12:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $34 |
| Oct 21, 09:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $14 |
| Oct 21, 02:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $35 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bauchi-nigeria-governor-election-winner?via=bro
$20.2K in total volume, with $150 traded in the last 24 hours across 33 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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