As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 87.0% in Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…? — $9.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 87.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +2.5 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.
Since July 13, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 30.5% and 93.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 87.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 87.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 87¢ | 87.0% | -0.5 pts | $4.2K | 45.7% |
| July 31, 2027 | 33¢ | 33.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.8K | 19.1% |
| December 31, 2026 | 3¢ | 3.2% | +0.8 pts | $3.3K | 35.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 85¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.3K has been traded on this event in total, $276 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 495 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 495 | $64 |
| Untimely-Fresco | Yes | 342 | $297 |
| Glum-Sprinter | Yes | 225 | $196 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere | Yes | 192 | $167 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 97 | $13 |
| Evil-Condor | No | 62 | $8 |
| Evil-Row | No | 50 | $6 |
| Multicolored-Casserole | No | 26 | $3 |
| Rapid-Precipitation | No | 20 | $3 |
| Unwritten-Cocoa | No | 7 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.7% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 11:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 32.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 05:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 32.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 05:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 33.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 05:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 34.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 05:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 05:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $26 |
| Oct 23, 05:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 05:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 87.0%. Next is July 31, 2027 at 33.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bayeux-tapestry-back-in-france-by-20260713162010340?via=bro
$9.3K in total volume, with $276 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 87.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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