As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Other at 50.0% in Best Chinese AI Company end of November? — $18.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Other, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Other is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Xiaomi | 28¢ | 28.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.7K | 14.5% |
| Moonshot | 26¢ | 26.0% | +4.5 pts | $2.5K | 13.4% |
| Alibaba | 24¢ | 24.5% | -4.0 pts | $7.4K | 39.8% |
| Z.ai | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $2.2K | 11.6% |
| Tencent | 6¢ | 5.6% | +2.9 pts | $614 | 3.3% |
| Meituan | 4¢ | 4.3% | +1.4 pts | $470 | 2.5% |
| DeepSeek | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.2 pts | $674 | 3.6% |
| ByteDance | 3¢ | 2.6% | -1.3 pts | $602 | 3.2% |
| Baidu | 2¢ | 2.4% | -0.9 pts | $559 | 3.0% |
| MiniMax | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.1 pts | $592 | 3.2% |
| StepFun | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $348 | 1.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.6K has been traded on this event in total, $2.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 25 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 421 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 421 | $211 |
| Blue-Bend | Yes | 62 | $31 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 61 | $30 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 55 | $28 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 45 | $22 |
| Miniature-Drive | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 38 | $19 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 35 | $17 |
| Worthy-Jockey | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 19 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.1% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 68.5% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 68.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 12:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 70.7% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.3% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.3% | $69 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Other at 50.0%. Next is Company A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-november?via=bro
$18.6K in total volume, with $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 25 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control.
Other, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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