As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 74,000 at 97.8% in Bitcoin above ___ on October 28? — $15.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 74,000, is priced at 97.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.4 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, 74,000 has traded between 97.5% and 99.0%. It opened at 97.5% and last traded at 99.0%.
74,000 is favored at 97.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 98¢ | 97.8% | -1.4 pts | $4.0K | 25.5% |
| 76,000 | 94¢ | 93.8% | -2.8 pts | $3.9K | 24.6% |
| 78,000 | 82¢ | 82.0% | -8.8 pts | $2.3K | 14.9% |
| 80,000 | 57¢ | 57.5% | -13.5 pts | $2.7K | 17.3% |
| 82,000 | 30¢ | 29.5% | -10.5 pts | $371 | 2.4% |
| 84,000 | 11¢ | 11.0% | -5.0 pts | $845 | 5.4% |
| 86,000 | 4¢ | 3.6% | -0.9 pts | $1.1K | 7.2% |
| 88,000 | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $176 | 1.1% |
| 92,000 | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 94,000 | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.7 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 90,000 | 1¢ | 1.0% | -0.4 pts | $272 | 1.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$15.7K has been traded on this event in total, $4.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,929 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 3,929 | $3.8K |
| Celebrated-Plain | No | 2,212 | $50 |
| 0xb6fef4c2… | No | 1,711 | $38 |
| Yummy-Ship | No | 44 | $1 |
| Unhappy-Band | Yes | 34 | $33 |
| Homely-Hearthside | Yes | 31 | $31 |
| Winged-Researcher | No | 26 | $1 |
| 0xee6712ea… | No | 6 | $0 |
| Infinite-Diaphragm-Federation | Yes | 5 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.0% | $320 |
| Oct 24, 02:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $280 |
| Oct 24, 12:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.3% | $31 |
| Oct 24, 12:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.6% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.1% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.1% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.1% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 11:46 AM ET | No | SELL | 54.3% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 10:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 5.2% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 10:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 74,000 at 97.8%. Next is 76,000 at 93.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-28-2026?via=bro
$15.7K in total volume, with $4.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
74,000, priced at 97.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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