As of October 24, 2026, 09:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 72,000 at 99.0% in Bitcoin above ___ on October 29? — $12.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 72,000, is priced at 99.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, 72,000 has traded between 98.6% and 99.4%. It opened at 99.4% and last traded at 99.0%.
72,000 is favored at 99.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | 99¢ | 99.0% | -0.4 pts | $1.1K | 8.4% |
| 74,000 | 98¢ | 97.7% | +0.2 pts | $6.4K | 50.1% |
| 76,000 | 94¢ | 93.8% | +0.2 pts | $1.6K | 12.2% |
| 78,000 | 84¢ | 83.5% | — | $1.3K | 10.5% |
| 80,000 | 62¢ | 62.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.2K | 9.8% |
| 82,000 | 35¢ | 35.0% | -1.5 pts | $10 | 0.1% |
| 84,000 | 13¢ | 13.0% | -3.0 pts | $160 | 1.3% |
| 86,000 | 5¢ | 4.9% | -1.1 pts | $843 | 6.6% |
| 88,000 | 1¢ | 1.4% | -1.0 pts | $154 | 1.2% |
| 92,000 | 1¢ | 1.2% | +0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 90,000 | 1¢ | 1.1% | -0.2 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.7K has been traded on this event in total, $6.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,012 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 1,012 | $1.0K |
| Celebrated-Plain | No | 932 | $9 |
| Yummy-Ship | No | 75 | $1 |
| Muted-Boatyard | No | 54 | $1 |
| Unhappy-Band | Yes | 44 | $44 |
| Infinite-Diaphragm-Federation | Yes | 10 | $10 |
| Silly-Preference-Playground | No | 5 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.7% | $187 |
| Oct 24, 07:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.0% | $246 |
| Oct 24, 07:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.8% | $582 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.3% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.9% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 12:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.5% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 14.8% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 12:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.9% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:41 PM ET, the leading outcome is 72,000 at 99.0%. Next is 74,000 at 97.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-29-2026?via=bro
$12.7K in total volume, with $6.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
72,000, priced at 99.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:41 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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