As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 70,000 at 98.4% in Bitcoin above ___ on October 31? — $2.3K traded so far.
70,000 is favored at 98.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70,000 | 98¢ | 98.4% | — | $310 | 13.8% |
| 72,000 | 96¢ | 95.8% | — | $1.1K | 50.7% |
| 74,000 | 94¢ | 94.5% | — | $160 | 7.1% |
| 76,000 | 88¢ | 88.5% | — | $160 | 7.1% |
| 78,000 | 75¢ | 75.0% | — | $160 | 7.1% |
| 80,000 | 54¢ | 54.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 82,000 | 34¢ | 33.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 84,000 | 18¢ | 17.5% | — | $160 | 7.1% |
| 86,000 | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $160 | 7.1% |
| 88,000 | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| 90,000 | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.3K has been traded on this event in total, $2.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 310 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 310 | $305 |
| Celebrated-Plain | No | 310 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.2% | $776 |
| Oct 24, 04:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $307 |
| Oct 24, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.2% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.2% | $341 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 70,000 at 98.4%. Next is 72,000 at 95.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-october-31-2026?via=bro
$2.3K in total volume, with $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
70,000, priced at 98.4% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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