As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price August at 86.7% in Bitcoin best month in 2026? — $867.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, August, is priced at 86.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: -0.3 pts; past month: +4.6 pts.
Since January 29, 2026, August has traded between 1.1% and 88.5%. It opened at 11.0% and last traded at 86.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 86.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 86.7% |
August is favored at 86.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August | 87¢ | 86.7% | -0.4 pts | $31.9K | 3.7% |
| December | 6¢ | 6.5% | -0.5 pts | $40.7K | 4.7% |
| November | 5¢ | 4.5% | — | $39.7K | 4.6% |
| October | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $34.9K | 4.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$867.2K has been traded on this event in total, $3 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 12,921 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 12,921 | $1.7K |
| Favorable-Academics-Pool | Yes | 4,869 | $4.2K |
| 0xe51b3d64… | Yes | 4,027 | $3.5K |
| Modest-Meantime | Yes | 2,210 | $1.9K |
| Jittery-Leek | Yes | 1,798 | $1.6K |
| Tremendous-Divide | No | 1,000 | $133 |
| Pleased-Danger | No | 630 | $84 |
| Trim-Human | Yes | 619 | $537 |
| Equal-Brass | Yes | 386 | $335 |
| Functional-Councilor | Yes | 333 | $289 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.5% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:34 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.5% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.3% | $331 |
| Oct 23, 03:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 06:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.9% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 10:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 09:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 09:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.8% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is August at 86.7%. Next is December at 6.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-best-month-in-2026?via=bro
$867.2K in total volume, with $3 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
August, priced at 86.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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