As of October 24, 2026, 09:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Negative at 50.5% in Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 23? — $44 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Negative, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts.
Since October 24, 2026, Negative has traded between 50.5% and 50.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 50.5%.
Negative is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negative | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $44 | 100.0% |
| Positive | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $44 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 99¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$44 has been traded on this event in total, $44 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 23, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Friday, October 23, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://farside.co.uk/btc/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 44 shares of Negative.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pretty-Biplane | Negative | 44 | $22 |
| Illiterate-Colt | Positive | 34 | $17 |
| Voluminous-Lava | Positive | 10 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:46 PM ET | Negative | BUY | 98.9% | $44 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Negative at 50.5%. Next is Positive at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-etf-flows-on-october-23-2026?via=bro
$44 in total volume, with $44 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 23, 2026, 06:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://farside.co.uk/btc/.
Negative, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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