As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.5% in Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? — $10.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.7 pts; past month: -0.8 pts.
Since November 12, 2025, No has traded between 62.2% and 98.5%. It opened at 68.0% and last traded at 98.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.5% |
No is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.5% | — | $10.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $10.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.0K has been traded on this event in total, $17 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) exceeds the market capitalization of the largest publicly traded company in the world. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Market cap values for both BTC and companies will be taken directly from Google Finance. If Google Finance is unavailable, a consensus of credible financial data providers will be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,875 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy-Council | No | 1,875 | $1.8K |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 1,110 | $17 |
| Unsightly-Puma | Yes | 364 | $5 |
| Uneven-Gas | No | 357 | $351 |
| 0xcf0f71a0… | Yes | 268 | $4 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 215 | $3 |
| Hateful-Headrest | Yes | 200 | $3 |
| Gentle-Carload | Yes | 144 | $2 |
| Sore-Descendant | No | 143 | $141 |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 127 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 05:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.7% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 05:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 07:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.1% | $6 |
| Oct 14, 04:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.6% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 10:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 07:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.1% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 07:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.8% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 06:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.3% | $3 |
| Oct 13, 05:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.3% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.5%. Next is Yes at 1.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-more-valuable-than-any-company-before-2027?via=bro
$10.0K in total volume, with $17 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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