As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 80,000-82,000 at 42.0% in Bitcoin price on October 26? — $5.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 80,000-82,000, is priced at 42.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts.
Since October 19, 2026, 80,000-82,000 has traded between 21.0% and 47.5%. It opened at 22.0% and last traded at 42.5%.
80,000-82,000 is favored at 42.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000-82,000 | 42¢ | 42.0% | -4.0 pts | $605 | 10.6% |
| 78,000-80,000 | 32¢ | 32.4% | +14.0 pts | $981 | 17.1% |
| 82,000-84,000 | 16¢ | 16.5% | -12.0 pts | $413 | 7.2% |
| 76,000-78,000 | 7¢ | 6.8% | +4.7 pts | $851 | 14.9% |
| 84,000-86,000 | 2¢ | 1.7% | -4.3 pts | $494 | 8.6% |
| <72,000 | 1¢ | 1.4% | +0.9 pts | $513 | 9.0% |
| 74,000-76,000 | 1¢ | 1.4% | +0.9 pts | $502 | 8.8% |
| 72,000-74,000 | 1¢ | 1.3% | +0.8 pts | $16 | 0.3% |
| 88,000-90,000 | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.6 pts | $410 | 7.2% |
| 86,000-88,000 | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.9 pts | $215 | 3.8% |
| >90,000 | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $729 | 12.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 41¢ / ask 43¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.7K has been traded on this event in total, $3.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 211 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Far-Flung-Sycamore | Yes | 211 | $89 |
| Shocked-Mole-Parent | Yes | 210 | $88 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 168 | $98 |
| Unhappy-Band | No | 168 | $97 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 56 | $32 |
| Clear-Gelding | No | 20 | $12 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | No | 14 | $8 |
| General-Vacuum | Yes | 11 | $4 |
| Finished-Afterthought | Yes | 10 | $4 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 10 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.4% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 11:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.9% | $62 |
| Oct 24, 10:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.8% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 10:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.8% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 10:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.8% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 10:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.6% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.8% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.3% | $46 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 80,000-82,000 at 42.0%. Next is 78,000-80,000 at 32.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-october-26-2026?via=bro
$5.7K in total volume, with $3.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
80,000-82,000, priced at 42.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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