As of October 24, 2026, 08:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Down at 54.0% in Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET — $5.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Down, is priced at 54.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, Down has traded between 50.0% and 50.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 50.0%.
Down is favored at 54.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Down | 54¢ | 54.0% | +4.0 pts | $5.6K | 100.0% |
| Up | 46¢ | 46.0% | -4.0 pts | $5.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 47¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.6K has been traded on this event in total, $8.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,818 shares of Down.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Optimal-Stumbling | Down | 1,818 | $982 |
| Unlucky-Oregano | Up | 535 | $246 |
| 0xfb1c3c1a… | Down | 300 | $162 |
| Lively-Authenticity | Up | 230 | $106 |
| Triangular-Counterforce | Up | 200 | $92 |
| Illustrious-Budget | Down | 191 | $103 |
| Magnificent-Tool | Up | 153 | $70 |
| Muffled-Bit-Spreadsheet | Up | 151 | $70 |
| 0x5d72a6fc… | Up | 138 | $64 |
| Anchored-Alb | Up | 119 | $55 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Up | BUY | 64.6% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Up | BUY | 62.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Up | BUY | 64.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Up | BUY | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Up | BUY | 65.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Down | BUY | 44.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Up | BUY | 57.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Down | BUY | 44.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Up | BUY | 57.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:49 PM ET | Up | BUY | 57.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Down at 54.0%. Next is Up at 46.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-2026-8pm-et?via=bro
$5.6K in total volume, with $8.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
Down, priced at 54.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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