As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Up at 88.5% in Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? — $50.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Up, is priced at 88.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +38.0 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, Up has traded between 50.5% and 92.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 92.5%.
Up is favored at 88.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 88¢ | 88.5% | +38.0 pts | $50.3K | 100.0% |
| Down | 12¢ | 11.5% | -38.0 pts | $50.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$50.3K has been traded on this event in total, $50.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,217 shares of Down.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oily-Container | Down | 7,217 | $830 |
| Humble-Pecan | Up | 3,055 | $2.7K |
| Impressive-Steak | Up | 2,117 | $1.9K |
| Pesky-Hole | Up | 1,828 | $1.6K |
| All-Peasant-Drug | Down | 1,661 | $191 |
| New-Guide | Down | 1,059 | $122 |
| Mushy-Buck | Up | 800 | $708 |
| Ideal-Friction | Up | 788 | $698 |
| Klutzy-Sale | Up | 700 | $620 |
| 0xb6fef4c2… | Up | 597 | $529 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | Up | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:51 PM ET | Up | BUY | 93.0% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | Up | SELL | 92.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 07:45 PM ET | Up | BUY | 92.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:45 PM ET | Down | BUY | 9.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 07:43 PM ET | Up | BUY | 92.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:43 PM ET | Up | BUY | 91.0% | $389 |
| Oct 24, 07:41 PM ET | Down | BUY | 9.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:41 PM ET | Down | BUY | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:40 PM ET | Down | BUY | 9.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Up at 88.5%. Next is Down at 11.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-25-2026?via=bro
$50.3K in total volume, with $50.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
Up, priced at 88.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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