As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price SDA at 93.8% in Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner — $12.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, SDA, is priced at 93.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.3 pts; past week: -3.5 pts; past month: +14.8 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, SDA has traded between 42.5% and 98.5%. It opened at 42.5% and last traded at 96.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.1% |
SDA is favored at 93.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDA | 94¢ | 93.8% | -2.3 pts | $7.6K | 62.4% |
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| HDZ BiH | 5¢ | 5.2% | +1.6 pts | $539 | 4.5% |
| DF | 4¢ | 3.8% | +0.2 pts | $663 | 5.5% |
| SNSD | 3¢ | 2.9% | +2.9 pts | $1.2K | 9.5% |
| SDS | 1¢ | 1.4% | +0.1 pts | $782 | 6.5% |
| NiP | 1¢ | 1.2% | +0.8 pts | $599 | 4.9% |
| SDP BiH | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $815 | 6.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.1K has been traded on this event in total, $269 of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Resolution source: https://www.izbori.ba/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,495 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worried-Pigeon-Hen | Yes | 1,495 | $1.4K |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 446 | $28 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 359 | $22 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 263 | $247 |
| Silent-Rowboat | Yes | 258 | $242 |
| Known-Use | No | 253 | $16 |
| Liquid-Argument | No | 244 | $15 |
| Harmful-Raincoat-Godfather | No | 235 | $15 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 230 | $14 |
| Relieved-Maestro | Yes | 216 | $203 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.1% | $47 |
| Oct 24, 03:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 08:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.0% | $70 |
| Oct 21, 01:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 4.6% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 12:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.8% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 12:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.8% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 12:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.8% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 12:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.9% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 12:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.6% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is SDA at 93.8%. Next is Party A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bosnia-and-herzegovina-parliamentary-election-winner?via=bro
$12.1K in total volume, with $269 traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.izbori.ba/.
SDA, priced at 93.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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